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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-30 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+17.8%) | 15 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.7d ago · 50× | 1% ±5 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 14% ±28 | 31% ±64 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 101 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,225.94 (+7.8%) | 6.4 | 1.0% | 6h | 21.2d ago · 44× | 9% ±9 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 0% ±1 | 9% ±9 | 27% ±23 | 49% ±40 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 248 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,092.44 (+4.4%) | 3.6 | 3.4% | 19h | 3.2d ago · 97× | 37% ±14 | 46% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 6% ±3 | 37% ±14 | 54% ±25 | 71% ±36 | 2.1d | 1.92% | 1.76% | 263 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 4,077–4,171.78 (+4.0%) | 3.3 | 3.1% | 17h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 32% ±18 | 56% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 31% ±17 | 29 | 6% ±4 | 32% ±18 | 45% ±33 | 53% ±49 | 6.7d | 2.06% | 2.04% | 161 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,043.48 (+3.2%) | 2.6 | 2.6% | 13h | 3.1d ago · 70× | 50% ±28 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 21% ±9 | 49% ±27 | 72% ±44 | 78% ±58 | 1.1d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 78 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 3,975.45 (+1.4%) | 1.2 | 4.8% | 1.3d | 3.0d ago · 67× | 79% ±27 | 29% ±21 | 19% ±18 | 52% ±23 | 18 | 61% ±13 | 77% ±26 | 92% ±30 | 94% | 2h | 1.04% | 1.94% | 57 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 3,934.12 (+0.4%) | 0.3 | 4.4% | 2.0d | 3.0d ago · 104× | 92% ±13 | 51% ±17 | 6% ±8 | 43% ±17 | 32 | 77% ±8 | 92% ±13 | 94% ±19 | 97% ±23 | 1h | 2.17% | 1.69% | 101 → 2 | |
| at post · 3,919.64 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 3,871.79 (-1.2%) | 1.0 | 4.4% | 1.8d | 2.8d ago · 85× | 78% ±21 | 47% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 47% ±19 | 27 | 63% ±10 | 79% ±20 | 88% ±28 | 92% ±38 | 2h | 2.45% | 1.92% | 93 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,829.31 (-2.3%) | 1.9 | 4.1% | 1.2d | 2.7d ago · 85× | 42% ±21 | 55% ±19 | 17% ±15 | 28% ±17 | 26 | 19% ±7 | 42% ±21 | 56% ±37 | 62% ±55 | 1.7d | 2.57% | 1.12% | 129 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,804.86 (-2.9%) | 2.4 | 2.9% | 17h | 2.7d ago · 59× | 40% ±22 | 47% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 10% ±6 | 39% ±22 | 51% ±40 | 57% ±56 | 2.8d | 2.54% | 1.41% | 114 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,711.42 (-5.3%) | 4.4 | 0.9% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 14% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 4% ±3 | 14% ±14 | 23% ±29 | 31% ±52 | > 7d | — | — | 139 → 3 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 3,919.64 | 3,829.31 | 4,092.44 | target | +1.77% |