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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-30 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+21.0%) | 16 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.7d ago · 50× | 1% ±5 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 11% ±26 | 29% ±63 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 104 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,225.94 (+10.8%) | 8.1 | 1.1% | 7h | 21.2d ago · 44× | 5% ±6 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 22% ±20 | 45% ±37 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 312 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,087.37 (+7.1%) | 5.3 | 3.5% | 19h | 3.2d ago · 97× | 28% ±13 | 46% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 3% ±2 | 28% ±13 | 42% ±24 | 61% ±36 | 4.1d | 1.92% | 1.76% | 286 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 4,077–4,171.78 (+6.8%) | 5.1 | 3.3% | 18h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 17% ±15 | 56% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 31% ±17 | 29 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±14 | 39% ±34 | 61% ±48 | 5.2d | 2.06% | 2.04% | 148 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,037.66 (+5.8%) | 4.4 | 2.9% | 16h | 3.1d ago · 70× | 25% ±16 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 5% ±3 | 25% ±16 | 54% ±33 | 72% ±44 | 2.5d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 168 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 3,975.45 (+4.2%) | 3.1 | 5.2% | 1.4d | 3.0d ago · 67× | 25% ±23 | 29% ±21 | 19% ±18 | 52% ±23 | 18 | 7% ±5 | 25% ±23 | 47% ±44 | 67% ±65 | 5.3d | 1.04% | 1.94% | 84 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 3,933.25 (+3.1%) | 2.3 | 4.7% | 2.1d | 3.0d ago · 104× | 43% ±24 | 51% ±17 | 6% ±8 | 43% ±17 | 32 | 14% ±7 | 44% ±24 | 54% ±44 | 68% ±65 | 2.5d | 2.17% | 1.69% | 98 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 3,871.79 (+1.5%) | 1.1 | 4.8% | 1.9d | 3.0d ago · 79× | 74% ±25 | 29% ±19 | 4% ±9 | 67% ±20 | 21 | 57% ±11 | 74% ±25 | 82% ±38 | 89% ±43 | 3h | 2.01% | 1.90% | 74 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,820.53 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.3% | 1.2d | 7.0d ago · 56× | 89% ±31 | 44% ±27 | 6% ±13 | 50% ±27 | 13 | 78% ±16 | 89% ±31 | 89% | 93% | 1h | 1.97% | 2.51% | 25 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,815.66 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 3,804.86 (-0.3%) | 0.2 | 3.2% | 19h | 2.7d ago · 59× | 80% ±30 | 47% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 64% ±15 | 80% ±30 | 80% ±56 | 82% | 2h | 2.54% | 1.41% | 42 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,711.42 (-2.7%) | 2.0 | 0.9% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 48% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 16% ±10 | 48% ±35 | 48% ±57 | 56% | 4.7d | — | — | 48 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 3,815.66 | 3,548.82 | 3,933.25 | expired | -0.50% |
| 14d | POC | short | 3,815.66 | 3,804.86 | 4,037.66 | target | -0.50% |