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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-31 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,605.06–4,645.68 (+19.6%) | 18 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.7d ago · 50× | 1% ±5 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 3% ±14 | 19% ±55 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 103 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,212.4 (+9.4%) | 8.6 | 1.0% | 7h | 21.2d ago · 44× | 5% ±6 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 21% ±19 | 44% ±34 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 332 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,086.16 (+6.1%) | 5.6 | 2.8% | 14h | 3.2d ago · 97× | 26% ±13 | 46% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 4% ±2 | 26% ±12 | 40% ±24 | 60% ±36 | 4.4d | 1.92% | 1.76% | 282 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 4,077–4,158.24 (+5.9%) | 5.4 | 2.7% | 15h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 15% ±14 | 56% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 31% ±17 | 29 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±14 | 38% ±34 | 61% ±48 | 5.5d | 2.06% | 2.04% | 150 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,043.48 (+5.0%) | 4.6 | 2.3% | 12h | 3.1d ago · 70× | 22% ±15 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 3% ±3 | 22% ±15 | 49% ±31 | 69% ±45 | 3.6d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 185 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 3,933.71 (+2.2%) | 2.0 | 3.9% | 1.8d | 3.0d ago · 104× | 52% ±25 | 53% ±17 | 6% ±8 | 42% ±17 | 33 | 17% ±8 | 51% ±25 | 63% ±42 | 75% ±60 | 19h | 2.17% | 1.63% | 91 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 3,871.79 (+0.6%) | 0.5 | 4.0% | 1.6d | 3.0d ago · 79× | 88% ±20 | 28% ±19 | 4% ±8 | 68% ±19 | 22 | 75% ±11 | 89% ±19 | 94% ±28 | 95% | 1h | 2.02% | 1.87% | 61 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,850.26 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 3,840.05 (-0.3%) | 0.2 | 4.1% | 1.3d | 2.8d ago · 72× | 77% ±27 | 67% ±20 | 4% ±9 | 29% ±19 | 21 | 70% ±13 | 77% ±27 | 83% ±42 | 87% | 1h | 3.14% | 0.86% | 51 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,787.4 (-1.6%) | 1.5 | 2.3% | 12h | 2.7d ago · 59× | 55% ±24 | 47% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 29% ±9 | 55% ±24 | 60% ±43 | 66% ±66 | 15h | 2.54% | 1.41% | 97 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 3,711.42–3,723.72 (-3.3%) | 3.0 | 1.3% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 31% ±16 | 55% ±19 | 17% ±15 | 28% ±17 | 26 | 8% ±4 | 32% ±16 | 45% ±29 | 56% ±44 | 2.4d | 2.57% | 1.12% | 193 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 3,850.26 | 4,212.4 | 3,711.42 | expired | +0.78% |