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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-31 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,605.06–4,645.68 (+20.1%) | 18 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.8d ago · 50× | 1% ±5 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 18% ±54 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 103 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,212.4 (+9.8%) | 9.1 | 1.0% | 7h | 21.3d ago · 44× | 4% ±5 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 20% ±18 | 43% ±34 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 337 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,086.16 (+6.6%) | 6.0 | 2.7% | 14h | 3.3d ago · 97× | 23% ±12 | 46% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 3% ±2 | 23% ±12 | 36% ±24 | 59% ±36 | 5.2d | 1.92% | 1.76% | 276 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 4,077–4,158.24 (+6.3%) | 5.8 | 2.7% | 15h | 9.6d ago · 82× | 16% ±14 | 56% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 31% ±17 | 29 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±14 | 39% ±34 | 64% ±47 | 4.8d | 2.06% | 2.04% | 151 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,034.39 (+5.2%) | 4.8 | 2.4% | 14h | 3.2d ago · 70× | 21% ±14 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±14 | 48% ±30 | 67% ±41 | 3.8d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 194 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 3,933.71 (+2.6%) | 2.4 | 3.9% | 1.8d | 3.1d ago · 104× | 43% ±24 | 53% ±17 | 6% ±8 | 42% ±17 | 33 | 13% ±6 | 41% ±23 | 51% ±40 | 66% ±54 | 2.8d | 2.17% | 1.63% | 106 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 3,876.18 (+1.1%) | 1.0 | 4.1% | 1.7d | 3.1d ago · 79× | 78% ±23 | 28% ±19 | 4% ±8 | 68% ±19 | 22 | 62% ±10 | 79% ±21 | 86% ±31 | 91% ±40 | 2h | 2.02% | 1.87% | 83 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 3,840.05 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.2% | 1.3d | 3.1d ago · 67× | 92% ±19 | 29% ±21 | 19% ±18 | 52% ±23 | 18 | 84% ±10 | 92% ±19 | 95% ±24 | 95% | 1h | 1.04% | 1.94% | 49 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,834.79 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 3,792.76 (-1.1%) | 1.0 | 2.4% | 13h | 2.8d ago · 59× | 63% ±25 | 47% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 41% ±10 | 62% ±25 | 67% ±41 | 71% ±63 | 10h | 2.54% | 1.41% | 89 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 3,723.72–3,724.96 (-2.9%) | 2.6 | 1.3% | 6h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 34% ±18 | 55% ±19 | 17% ±15 | 28% ±17 | 26 | 11% ±5 | 35% ±17 | 47% ±31 | 57% ±48 | 2.0d | 2.57% | 1.12% | 171 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | short | 3,834.79 | 3,724.96 | 4,212.4 | expired | -1.04% |