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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-03 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,605.06–4,645.68 (+19.2%) | 29 | 0.2% | 56m | 2.0d ago · 50× | 1% ±6 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 10% ±41 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 87 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,171.78 (+8.0%) | 12 | 1.4% | 7h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 3% ±5 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 17% ±17 | 48% ±35 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 349 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 4,063.46–4,158.24 (+5.2%) | 7.9 | 1.6% | 10h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 11% ±13 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 1% ±2 | 11% ±13 | 34% ±33 | 62% ±55 | 5.7d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 146 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 4,034.39–4,040.14 (+4.4%) | 6.8 | 1.5% | 8h | 3.4d ago · 97× | 14% ±10 | 47% ±17 | 6% ±8 | 47% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±10 | 31% ±23 | 55% ±37 | 6.0d | 1.94% | 2.05% | 287 → 7 | |
| 30D POC | 3,867.13 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.4% | 1.7d | 3.2d ago · 67× | 92% ±17 | 27% ±20 | 18% ±17 | 55% ±22 | 19 | 85% ±9 | 93% ±17 | 95% ±26 | 95% | 1h | 0.99% | 1.92% | 53 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,863.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 3,858.92 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.4% | 1.6d | 3.1d ago · 106× | 87% ±18 | 53% ±15 | 5% ±7 | 41% ±15 | 40 | 76% ±9 | 88% ±17 | 92% ±24 | 94% ±32 | 1h | 2.67% | 1.52% | 86 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,804.27 (-1.5%) | 2.3 | 1.8% | 10h | 3.0d ago · 59× | 39% ±21 | 48% ±23 | 14% ±16 | 38% ±22 | 18 | 11% ±5 | 39% ±21 | 49% ±37 | 58% ±56 | 3.0d | 2.54% | 1.41% | 121 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,765.58 (-2.5%) | 3.9 | 1.3% | 5h | 1.4d ago · 31× | 20% ±17 | 46% ±31 | 8% ±17 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 4% ±3 | 20% ±16 | 27% ±31 | 36% ±54 | > 7d | 2.56% | 2.16% | 136 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,717.97 (-3.8%) | 5.8 | 0.7% | 2h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 16% ±11 | 53% ±19 | 17% ±14 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±10 | 34% ±23 | 59% ±36 | 5.0d | 2.52% | 1.15% | 285 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | short | 3,863.3 | 3,765.58 | 4,171.78 | target | +6.39% |