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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-03 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,605.06–4,645.68 (+23.0%) | 28 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.7d ago · 50× | 1% ±5 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 9% ±40 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 93 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,171.78 (+11.4%) | 14 | 1.7% | 8h | 21.2d ago · 44× | 3% ±5 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 16% ±17 | 47% ±35 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 324 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 4,028.63–4,034.39 (+7.6%) | 9.3 | 1.9% | 11h | 3.1d ago · 97× | 7% ±7 | 47% ±17 | 6% ±8 | 47% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±7 | 23% ±20 | 50% ±37 | 6.1d | 1.94% | 2.05% | 299 → 7 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,858.92–3,867.13 (+3.0%) | 3.8 | 4.2% | 1.9d | 3.0d ago · 104× | 19% ±18 | 38% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 52% ±17 | 33 | 4% ±4 | 19% ±18 | 35% ±38 | 58% ±56 | 5.9d | 1.82% | 1.77% | 116 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,792.76 (+1.3%) | 1.6 | 1.9% | 10h | 22.7d ago · 46× | 54% ±69 | 33% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 60% ±28 | 12 | 38% ±29 | 54% ±69 | 92% | 92% | 5h | 2.60% | 2.78% | 11 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 3,792.66–4,036.38 (+1.3%) | 1.6 | 1.9% | 10h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 51% ±21 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 22% ±7 | 51% ±21 | 63% ±36 | 66% ±54 | 22h | 2.01% | 2.31% | 132 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,765.58 (+0.6%) | 0.7 | 1.6% | 7h | 105.2d ago · 18× | 87% ±47 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 67% ±26 | 87% ±47 | 93% | 93% | 2h | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| at post · 3,744.76 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,735.23 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 1.4% | 6h | 2.7d ago · 85× | 74% ±25 | 53% ±19 | 17% ±14 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 61% ±11 | 74% ±25 | 83% ±37 | 85% ±50 | 2h | 2.52% | 1.15% | 70 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 3,744.76 | 3,858.92 | 3,682.42 | stop | -3.23% |