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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-04 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,266.56–4,293.64 (+22.1%) | 13 | 0.7% | 4h | 1.7d ago · 50× | 1% ±4 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 13% ±27 | 28% ±51 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 113 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,185.32 (+19.8%) | 12 | 2.1% | 11h | 21.2d ago · 44× | 4% ±5 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 17% ±17 | 46% ±33 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 364 → 9 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 4,002.7–4,030.96 (+14.5%) | 8.7 | 5.0% | 1.4d | 3.2d ago · 97× | 7% ±7 | 47% ±17 | 6% ±8 | 47% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±7 | 24% ±20 | 50% ±37 | 6.0d | 1.94% | 2.05% | 308 → 7 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 3,860.47–3,867.13 (+10.5%) | 6.2 | 7.6% | 3.6d | 3.0d ago · 104× | 8% ±11 | 37% ±16 | 9% ±10 | 54% ±17 | 34 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±11 | 20% ±28 | 48% ±49 | 6.0d | 1.85% | 1.71% | 147 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 3,792.66–4,036.38 (+8.5%) | 5.1 | 3.7% | 19h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 15% ±13 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±13 | 35% ±31 | 58% ±48 | 6.3d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 163 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,752.04 (+7.4%) | 4.4 | 2.8% | 13h | 105.2d ago · 18× | 23% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 5% ±6 | 22% ±31 | 44% ±69 | 80% | 4.3d | — | — | 42 → 1 |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 3,681.36–3,697.9 (+5.3%) | 3.2 | 1.1% | 4h | 7.0d ago · 56× | 31% ±32 | 41% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 4% ±5 | 30% ±30 | 71% ±51 | 80% | 1.6d | 2.56% | 2.59% | 52 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,494.72 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.