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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-04 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,266.56–4,307.18 (+21.6%) | 13 | 0.6% | 4h | 1.9d ago · 50× | 1% ±4 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 13% ±27 | 27% ±50 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 115 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,185.32 (+19.3%) | 12 | 2.0% | 10h | 21.4d ago · 44× | 4% ±5 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 17% ±16 | 46% ±33 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 364 → 9 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,038.89 (+15.1%) | 9.3 | 3.2% | 17h | 3.3d ago · 70× | 10% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±8 | 27% ±21 | 54% ±37 | 6.1d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 307 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,009.84 (+14.3%) | 8.8 | 4.5% | 1.1d | 3.4d ago · 97× | 4% ±6 | 46% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 19% ±21 | 44% ±40 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.76% | 251 → 6 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 3,860.47–3,867.13 (+10.0%) | 6.2 | 7.4% | 3.5d | 3.2d ago · 104× | 8% ±11 | 37% ±16 | 9% ±10 | 54% ±17 | 34 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±11 | 20% ±28 | 48% ±49 | 5.9d | 1.85% | 1.71% | 148 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 3,792.66–4,036.38 (+8.1%) | 5.0 | 3.5% | 19h | 9.7d ago · 82× | 15% ±13 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±13 | 34% ±31 | 56% ±49 | 6.5d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 165 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,752.04 (+6.9%) | 4.3 | 2.7% | 13h | 105.4d ago · 18× | 25% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 4% ±6 | 24% ±32 | 47% ±69 | 77% | 4.2d | — | — | 43 → 1 |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 3,681.36–3,689.97 (+4.9%) | 3.0 | 1.0% | 4h | 7.2d ago · 56× | 29% ±34 | 43% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 51% ±25 | 15 | 5% ±6 | 28% ±31 | 68% ±53 | 78% | 1.8d | 2.87% | 2.53% | 46 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,509.56 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.