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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-04 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,185.32 (+22.1%) | 13 | 2.0% | 10h | 21.4d ago · 44× | 3% ±5 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 16% ±16 | 47% ±35 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 345 → 8 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,053.8 (+18.2%) | 11 | 3.2% | 18h | 3.4d ago · 70× | 7% ±7 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±7 | 22% ±20 | 49% ±37 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 290 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,011.76 (+17.0%) | 10 | 4.4% | 1.1d | 3.4d ago · 97× | 4% ±6 | 46% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±6 | 17% ±21 | 43% ±43 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.76% | 220 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 3,858.75–3,867.13 (+12.6%) | 7.5 | 7.4% | 3.4d | 3.2d ago · 104× | 6% ±10 | 37% ±16 | 9% ±10 | 54% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±10 | 17% ±26 | 48% ±57 | 5.9d | 1.85% | 1.71% | 136 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,792.66–4,036.38 (+10.6%) | 6.4 | 3.5% | 19h | 9.7d ago · 82× | 13% ±13 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±13 | 34% ±31 | 59% ±48 | 6.2d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 167 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,738.5 (+9.0%) | 5.4 | 2.8% | 14h | 105.4d ago · 18× | 21% ±30 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 4% ±6 | 20% ±30 | 42% ±68 | 91% | 4.2d | — | — | 44 → 1 |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 3,672–3,677.4 (+7.1%) | 4.3 | 0.8% | 3h | 7.2d ago · 56× | 25% ±27 | 43% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 51% ±25 | 15 | 3% ±4 | 24% ±26 | 62% ±55 | 71% | 2.0d | 2.87% | 2.53% | 62 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 3,535.4–3,562.48 (+3.1%) | 1.9 | 0.7% | 2h | 1.9d ago · 50× | 61% ±39 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 18% ±13 | 61% ±39 | 76% ±59 | 97% | 20h | 2.25% | 1.24% | 36 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,428.29 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.