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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-06 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,278.28–4,295.27 (+27.8%) | 24 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.7d ago · 50× | 1% ±4 | 27% ±25 | 20% ±23 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 8% ±31 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 120 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,229.04 (+26.3%) | 22 | 0.7% | 5h | 3.1d ago · 70× | 1% ±6 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 2% ±14 | 17% ±52 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 85 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,176.34 (+24.7%) | 21 | 1.7% | 9h | 21.2d ago · 44× | 2% ±5 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 10% ±19 | 47% ±49 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 165 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,908.38 (+16.7%) | 14 | 3.0% | 23h | 3.1d ago · 97× | 2% ±6 | 46% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 14% ±25 | 40% ±55 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.76% | 126 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 3,860.97–3,863.65 (+15.3%) | 13 | 4.9% | 2.5d | 2.9d ago · 104× | 3% ±9 | 37% ±16 | 9% ±10 | 54% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±9 | 13% ±30 | 46% ±69 | 5.7d | 1.85% | 1.71% | 88 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,751.59–4,176.34 (+12.1%) | 10 | 1.8% | 9h | 9.4d ago · 82× | 11% ±14 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±13 | 30% ±34 | 65% ±54 | 5.7d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 124 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,700.62 (+10.5%) | 9.0 | 1.1% | 6h | 105.2d ago · 18× | 15% ±29 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 5% ±6 | 14% ±26 | 39% ±68 | 98% | 3.7d | — | — | 42 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,582.12 (+7.0%) | 6.0 | 0.5% | 3h | 22.7d ago · 46× | 20% ±24 | 33% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 60% ±28 | 12 | 3% ±4 | 19% ±22 | 49% ±49 | 65% ±66 | 3.0d | 2.60% | 2.78% | 70 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,391.18 (+1.3%) | 1.1 | 0.8% | 6h | 6.9d ago · 56× | 73% ±33 | 50% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 61% ±15 | 75% ±32 | 80% ±56 | 87% | 2h | 3.09% | 2.33% | 42 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,347.88 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 3,347.88 | 3,309.29 | 3,860.97 | target | +3.77% |