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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-06 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,229.04 (+29.1%) | 23 | 0.7% | 5h | 3.0d ago · 70× | 1% ±6 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 15% ±49 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 83 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,181.31 (+27.6%) | 22 | 1.5% | 8h | 21.1d ago · 44× | 2% ±5 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 10% ±20 | 47% ±49 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 158 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,908.38 (+19.3%) | 15 | 3.3% | 1.0d | 3.1d ago · 97× | 2% ±6 | 46% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 14% ±26 | 41% ±56 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.76% | 121 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,860.97–3,873.45 (+17.9%) | 14 | 5.3% | 2.7d | 2.9d ago · 104× | 2% ±8 | 37% ±16 | 9% ±10 | 54% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 13% ±30 | 47% ±69 | 5.7d | 1.85% | 1.71% | 84 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,790.86–4,166.3 (+15.7%) | 12 | 2.4% | 13h | 9.4d ago · 82× | 12% ±16 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 1% ±2 | 12% ±16 | 31% ±41 | 66% ±65 | 5.7d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 94 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,715.77 (+13.4%) | 11 | 1.7% | 9h | 105.1d ago · 18× | 14% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 5% ±7 | 13% ±25 | 37% ±67 | 98% | 3.5d | — | — | 39 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,535.56–3,565.6 (+7.9%) | 6.2 | 0.5% | 1h | 1.6d ago · 50× | 24% ±32 | 27% ±25 | 20% ±23 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 4% ±6 | 24% ±32 | 60% ±68 | 87% | 2.1d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 43 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,522.22 (+7.5%) | 5.9 | 0.6% | 3h | 22.6d ago · 46× | 19% ±23 | 33% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 60% ±28 | 12 | 3% ±4 | 19% ±22 | 49% ±49 | 66% ±66 | 3.0d | 2.60% | 2.78% | 71 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,365.32 (+2.7%) | 2.1 | 0.9% | 4h | 6.9d ago · 56× | 33% ±41 | 50% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 16% ±13 | 35% ±42 | 50% ±69 | 73% | 3.0d | 3.09% | 2.33% | 29 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,275.64 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.