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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-09 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,181.61 (+18.6%) | 21 | 1.0% | 5h | 21.1d ago · 44× | 2% ±5 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 9% ±18 | 42% ±48 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 179 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,037.36 (+14.5%) | 17 | 1.7% | 9h | 3.0d ago · 70× | 2% ±4 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 9% ±16 | 30% ±40 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 194 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,863.65–3,865.91 (+9.6%) | 11 | 3.9% | 2.0d | 2.8d ago · 79× | 2% ±7 | 26% ±18 | 12% ±13 | 62% ±19 | 24 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 6% ±18 | 41% ±56 | 6.3d | 1.58% | 1.81% | 131 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,785.44–4,033.04 (+7.4%) | 8.4 | 1.7% | 9h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 9% ±11 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±11 | 28% ±28 | 50% ±49 | > 7d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 171 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,723.54 (+5.6%) | 6.4 | 1.4% | 7h | 105.1d ago · 18× | 15% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±22 | 29% ±51 | 93% | 5.2d | — | — | 60 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,550.21–3,562.59 (+0.7%) | 0.8 | 0.4% | 49m | 1.6d ago · 50× | 60% ±39 | 27% ±25 | 20% ±23 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 49% ±17 | 60% ±39 | 83% ±52 | 97% | 12h | 2.25% | 1.24% | 33 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,536.6 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 0.5% | 1h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 82% ±22 | 46% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 64% ±11 | 82% ±22 | 92% ±26 | 93% ±34 | 1h | 1.92% | 1.76% | 74 → 2 | |
| at post · 3,526.22 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 3,317.3–3,318.56 (-5.9%) | 6.8 | 1.3% | 8h | 2.6d ago · 106× | 13% ±10 | 53% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 41% ±15 | 42 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±10 | 36% ±25 | 62% ±39 | 5.1d | 2.64% | 1.36% | 257 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,209.8 (-9.0%) | 10 | 0.4% | 1h | 2.6d ago · 85× | 5% ±6 | 52% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 16% ±18 | 38% ±36 | > 7d | 2.52% | 1.35% | 308 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.