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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-09 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,181.61 (+16.9%) | 19 | 1.1% | 6h | 21.1d ago · 44× | 1% ±4 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 9% ±16 | 40% ±39 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 231 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,037.36 (+12.9%) | 15 | 1.7% | 9h | 3.0d ago · 70× | 4% ±6 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 12% ±18 | 35% ±42 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 230 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,863.65–3,865.91 (+8.0%) | 9.1 | 4.0% | 2.1d | 2.8d ago · 79× | 4% ±7 | 26% ±18 | 12% ±13 | 62% ±19 | 24 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 8% ±19 | 38% ±55 | > 7d | 1.58% | 1.81% | 143 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,785.44–4,033.04 (+5.8%) | 6.6 | 1.8% | 9h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 12% ±11 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±11 | 30% ±29 | 51% ±49 | 6.9d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 185 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,711.16 (+3.7%) | 4.2 | 1.2% | 6h | 105.1d ago · 18× | 18% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 4% ±5 | 18% ±25 | 35% ±54 | 69% | 5.3d | — | — | 54 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,636.87–3,674.02 (+1.7%) | 1.9 | 0.5% | 3h | 1.6d ago · 50× | 53% ±37 | 27% ±25 | 20% ±23 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 16% ±11 | 53% ±37 | 77% ±59 | 98% | 1.0d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 41 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,577.43 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 3,536.6 (-1.1%) | 1.3 | 0.5% | 2h | 3.0d ago · 65× | 79% ±28 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 52% ±14 | 79% ±28 | 85% ±41 | 85% | 4h | 2.69% | 1.77% | 50 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 3,317.3–3,318.56 (-7.2%) | 8.2 | 1.3% | 9h | 2.6d ago · 106× | 8% ±8 | 53% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 41% ±15 | 42 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±8 | 27% ±23 | 51% ±40 | 5.7d | 2.64% | 1.36% | 270 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,209.8 (-10.3%) | 12 | 0.4% | 1h | 2.6d ago · 85× | 2% ±4 | 52% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 13% ±16 | 32% ±35 | > 7d | 2.52% | 1.35% | 292 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.