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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-11 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,218.75 (+18.1%) | 16 | 0.8% | 6h | 21.0d ago · 44× | 1% ±3 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 10% ±14 | 37% ±36 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 302 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,039.79 (+13.1%) | 12 | 2.1% | 11h | 2.9d ago · 70× | 6% ±7 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 17% ±19 | 42% ±37 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 286 → 7 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 3,865.91–3,866.33 (+8.2%) | 7.5 | 5.0% | 2.6d | 2.7d ago · 79× | 6% ±9 | 26% ±18 | 12% ±13 | 62% ±19 | 24 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±9 | 13% ±22 | 41% ±48 | 6.9d | 1.58% | 1.81% | 163 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 3,797.82–4,033.04 (+6.3%) | 5.7 | 2.0% | 10h | 9.2d ago · 82× | 13% ±12 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±11 | 31% ±27 | 51% ±44 | 6.9d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 193 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,698.78 (+3.5%) | 3.2 | 0.9% | 4h | 105.0d ago · 18× | 21% ±30 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 4% ±6 | 19% ±27 | 34% ±54 | 49% | > 7d | — | — | 47 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,636.87–3,686.4 (+1.8%) | 1.6 | 0.8% | 7h | 1.5d ago · 50× | 59% ±34 | 25% ±24 | 19% ±21 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 27% ±12 | 62% ±32 | 84% ±42 | 98% | 17h | 1.46% | 1.26% | 53 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,573.35 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 3,519.31 (-1.5%) | 1.4 | 1.1% | 6h | 2.9d ago · 65× | 78% ±29 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 44% ±13 | 80% ±26 | 86% ±40 | 86% | 6h | 2.69% | 1.77% | 55 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 3,395.69 (-5.0%) | 4.5 | 1.6% | 17h | 2.6d ago · 106× | 26% ±17 | 58% ±15 | 2% ±4 | 40% ±15 | 42 | 3% ±3 | 26% ±17 | 44% ±32 | 65% ±47 | 3.6d | 2.80% | 1.24% | 161 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,368.34 (-5.7%) | 5.2 | 1.4% | 10h | 2.5d ago · 59× | 23% ±14 | 46% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 42% ±21 | 21 | 3% ±2 | 23% ±14 | 48% ±28 | 71% ±40 | 3.6d | 2.39% | 1.44% | 221 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,235.9 (-9.4%) | 8.6 | 0.7% | 3h | 2.5d ago · 85× | 8% ±7 | 52% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±7 | 24% ±19 | 48% ±35 | > 7d | 2.52% | 1.35% | 337 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.