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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-11 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,218.75 (+18.5%) | 17 | 0.8% | 6h | 21.1d ago · 44× | 1% ±3 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 10% ±14 | 37% ±36 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 299 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,039.79 (+13.4%) | 12 | 2.1% | 11h | 3.0d ago · 70× | 6% ±7 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 17% ±18 | 42% ±37 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 280 → 7 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 3,865.91–3,866.33 (+8.6%) | 7.7 | 5.0% | 2.6d | 2.8d ago · 79× | 5% ±9 | 26% ±18 | 12% ±13 | 62% ±19 | 24 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±8 | 11% ±21 | 39% ±48 | > 7d | 1.58% | 1.81% | 159 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 3,810.2–4,033.04 (+7.0%) | 6.3 | 2.3% | 12h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 12% ±11 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±11 | 30% ±27 | 51% ±44 | 7.0d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 191 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,686.4 (+3.5%) | 3.2 | 0.6% | 2h | 105.1d ago · 18× | 20% ±30 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 4% ±6 | 19% ±27 | 34% ±53 | 48% | > 7d | — | — | 48 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,636.87–3,686.4 (+2.1%) | 1.9 | 0.8% | 7h | 1.6d ago · 50× | 51% ±37 | 25% ±24 | 19% ±21 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 16% ±11 | 56% ±34 | 79% ±46 | 98% | 21h | 1.46% | 1.26% | 47 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,561.19 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 3,495.19 (-1.9%) | 1.7 | 0.9% | 5h | 3.0d ago · 65× | 75% ±30 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 36% ±12 | 77% ±26 | 84% ±41 | 84% | 8h | 2.69% | 1.77% | 57 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAL | 3,379.53–3,395.69 (-4.6%) | 4.2 | 1.6% | 17h | 2.6d ago · 106× | 28% ±16 | 54% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 41% ±15 | 42 | 4% ±3 | 28% ±16 | 49% ±31 | 69% ±45 | 3.0d | 2.66% | 1.30% | 185 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,193.69 (-10.3%) | 9.3 | 0.4% | 46m | 2.6d ago · 85× | 7% ±7 | 52% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 20% ±18 | 43% ±34 | > 7d | 2.52% | 1.35% | 337 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.