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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-12 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,255.89 (+23.6%) | 24 | 0.3% | 3h | 21.2d ago · 44× | 2% ±5 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 7% ±16 | 40% ±48 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 154 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,025.19 (+16.9%) | 17 | 2.1% | 13h | 3.1d ago · 70× | 1% ±4 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 8% ±16 | 27% ±39 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 206 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,863.49–3,865.91 (+12.2%) | 12 | 4.4% | 2.2d | 3.0d ago · 79× | 2% ±5 | 26% ±18 | 12% ±13 | 62% ±19 | 24 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 5% ±17 | 35% ±54 | > 7d | 1.58% | 1.81% | 130 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,810.2–4,045.42 (+10.7%) | 11 | 1.7% | 9h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 9% ±11 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±11 | 23% ±29 | 50% ±49 | 6.9d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 150 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 3,636.87–3,686.4 (+5.6%) | 5.6 | 0.7% | 6h | 1.7d ago · 50× | 35% ±33 | 29% ±24 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 6% ±6 | 35% ±31 | 67% ±53 | 90% | 1.8d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 52 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,612.11 (+4.9%) | 4.9 | 1.2% | 10h | 105.2d ago · 18× | 13% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±4 | 12% ±19 | 26% ±43 | 60% ±68 | 6.3d | — | — | 73 → 2 |
| 7D VAH | 3,523.13 (+2.3%) | 2.3 | 1.3% | 7h | 3.2d ago · 97× | 49% ±19 | 45% ±16 | 8% ±9 | 47% ±17 | 35 | 15% ±5 | 49% ±19 | 65% ±31 | 80% ±39 | 1.0d | 1.89% | 1.84% | 170 → 4 | |
| at post · 3,442.65 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 3,432.44 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 1.6% | 16h | 2.8d ago · 106× | 86% ±17 | 58% ±15 | 2% ±4 | 40% ±15 | 42 | 76% ±9 | 86% ±17 | 90% ±27 | 95% ±31 | 1h | 2.80% | 1.24% | 94 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,398 (-1.3%) | 1.3 | 1.5% | 15h | 2.7d ago · 59× | 58% ±23 | 46% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 42% ±21 | 21 | 33% ±9 | 59% ±23 | 67% ±38 | 71% ±51 | 12h | 2.39% | 1.44% | 106 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,258.03 (-5.4%) | 5.3 | 0.8% | 2h | 2.7d ago · 85× | 18% ±11 | 52% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 2% ±2 | 18% ±11 | 38% ±24 | 62% ±36 | 4.7d | 2.52% | 1.35% | 283 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.