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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-12 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,255.89 (+22.8%) | 23 | 0.3% | 3h | 21.1d ago · 44× | 2% ±5 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 8% ±17 | 38% ±48 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 171 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,018.28 (+15.9%) | 16 | 2.3% | 14h | 3.0d ago · 70× | 4% ±6 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 10% ±16 | 30% ±40 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 228 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,857.73–3,865.91 (+11.3%) | 11 | 4.4% | 2.1d | 2.8d ago · 79× | 2% ±6 | 26% ±18 | 12% ±13 | 62% ±19 | 24 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 6% ±16 | 36% ±54 | > 7d | 1.58% | 1.81% | 140 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,810.2–4,045.42 (+9.9%) | 9.8 | 1.7% | 9h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 8% ±10 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±10 | 24% ±28 | 47% ±49 | > 7d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 168 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 3,636.87–3,686.4 (+4.9%) | 4.9 | 0.7% | 6h | 1.6d ago · 50× | 44% ±34 | 29% ±24 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 8% ±7 | 43% ±34 | 68% ±53 | 94% | 1.6d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 50 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,612.11 (+4.2%) | 4.2 | 1.2% | 10h | 105.1d ago · 18× | 14% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 2% ±3 | 13% ±20 | 30% ±45 | 53% ±69 | 6.8d | — | — | 63 → 2 |
| 7D VAH | 3,523.13 (+1.6%) | 1.6 | 1.3% | 7h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 49% ±21 | 45% ±16 | 8% ±9 | 47% ±17 | 35 | 26% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 69% ±34 | 81% ±44 | 1.0d | 1.89% | 1.84% | 125 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,466.95 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 3,446.39 (-0.6%) | 0.6 | 1.6% | 18h | 2.6d ago · 106× | 85% ±17 | 58% ±15 | 2% ±4 | 40% ±15 | 42 | 71% ±9 | 85% ±17 | 89% ±25 | 95% ±24 | 1h | 2.80% | 1.24% | 110 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,395.55 (-2.1%) | 2.0 | 1.5% | 15h | 2.6d ago · 59× | 46% ±22 | 46% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 42% ±21 | 21 | 18% ±7 | 46% ±22 | 59% ±39 | 67% ±53 | 2.1d | 2.39% | 1.44% | 115 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,258.03 (-6.0%) | 6.0 | 0.8% | 2h | 2.6d ago · 85× | 16% ±10 | 52% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±10 | 36% ±23 | 59% ±36 | 4.8d | 2.52% | 1.35% | 308 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 3,466.95 | 3,523.13 | 3,258.03 | target | +1.61% |