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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-12 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,255.89 (+19.9%) | 20 | 0.3% | 3h | 21.1d ago · 44× | 1% ±4 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 8% ±15 | 36% ±38 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 235 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,008.55 (+12.9%) | 13 | 2.7% | 17h | 3.0d ago · 70× | 6% ±7 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 16% ±18 | 38% ±36 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 279 → 7 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,857.73–3,865.91 (+8.6%) | 8.5 | 4.5% | 2.2d | 2.8d ago · 79× | 4% ±7 | 26% ±18 | 12% ±13 | 62% ±19 | 24 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 7% ±17 | 35% ±47 | > 7d | 1.58% | 1.81% | 163 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 3,797.82–4,045.42 (+7.0%) | 6.9 | 1.6% | 8h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 10% ±11 | 55% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±10 | 28% ±26 | 47% ±44 | > 7d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 197 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 3,636.87–3,686.4 (+2.4%) | 2.4 | 0.8% | 6h | 1.6d ago · 50× | 53% ±35 | 29% ±24 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 15% ±10 | 52% ±35 | 76% ±49 | 98% | 1.0d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 50 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,599.73 (+1.4%) | 1.4 | 1.2% | 9h | 105.1d ago · 18× | 46% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 29% ±19 | 46% ±49 | 58% | 58% | 1.2d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| at post · 3,550.74 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 3,532.43 (-0.5%) | 0.5 | 1.5% | 8h | 3.0d ago · 65× | 90% ±21 | 50% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 46% ±21 | 21 | 73% ±13 | 90% ±21 | 90% ±34 | 90% | 1h | 2.91% | 1.61% | 47 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 3,446.39 (-2.9%) | 2.9 | 1.7% | 18h | 2.6d ago · 106× | 45% ±20 | 58% ±15 | 2% ±4 | 40% ±15 | 42 | 11% ±5 | 46% ±20 | 60% ±34 | 75% ±49 | 1.3d | 2.80% | 1.24% | 144 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,395.55 (-4.4%) | 4.3 | 1.6% | 16h | 2.6d ago · 59× | 31% ±17 | 46% ±21 | 13% ±14 | 42% ±21 | 21 | 5% ±3 | 31% ±17 | 56% ±31 | 72% ±44 | 2.2d | 2.39% | 1.44% | 177 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,267.33 (-8.0%) | 7.9 | 1.0% | 3h | 2.6d ago · 85× | 11% ±8 | 52% ±18 | 15% ±13 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±8 | 26% ±20 | 51% ±35 | 6.6d | 2.52% | 1.35% | 345 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.