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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-16 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,228.44 (+36.9%) | 29 | 0.3% | 3h | 21.1d ago · 44× | 2% ±6 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 5% ±16 | 31% ±52 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 122 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 3,866.18 (+25.2%) | 20 | 4.8% | 2.4d | 2.8d ago · 67× | 2% ±8 | 26% ±19 | 17% ±17 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 9% ±28 | 20% ±55 | > 7d | 1.04% | 1.80% | 66 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 3,639–3,712.68 (+17.8%) | 14 | 0.8% | 6h | 1.6d ago · 50× | 1% ±4 | 29% ±24 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 12% ±22 | 23% ±48 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 138 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,630.2 (+17.6%) | 14 | 1.1% | 8h | 3.0d ago · 70× | 4% ±6 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 12% ±16 | 32% ±35 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 276 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,480.76 (+12.7%) | 10 | 1.8% | 9h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 4% ±6 | 48% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 17% ±19 | 36% ±39 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.84% | 269 → 6 | |
| 14D POC | 3,429.95 (+11.1%) | 8.7 | 2.8% | 23h | 2.8d ago · 79× | 1% ±4 | 25% ±17 | 7% ±10 | 68% ±18 | 25 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 3% ±12 | 22% ±40 | > 7d | 2.04% | 1.84% | 161 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,393.4 (+9.9%) | 7.8 | 2.4% | 19h | 105.1d ago · 18× | 8% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 8% ±14 | 17% ±33 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | — | — | 87 → 2 |
| 14D VAL | 3,203 (+3.7%) | 2.9 | 2.6% | 14h | 22.6d ago · 46× | 23% ±28 | 37% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 58% ±24 | 16 | 9% ±7 | 24% ±28 | 54% ±56 | 68% | 2.5d | 2.60% | 2.66% | 56 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 3,180.09 (+3.0%) | 2.3 | 2.6% | 17h | 2.8d ago · 104× | 40% ±22 | 48% ±16 | 5% ±7 | 48% ±16 | 37 | 13% ±6 | 40% ±22 | 49% ±40 | 62% ±55 | 3.4d | 2.17% | 1.74% | 112 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,160.08–3,221.48 (+2.3%) | 1.8 | 2.3% | 16h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 47% ±20 | 51% ±17 | 14% ±12 | 34% ±16 | 32 | 16% ±6 | 47% ±20 | 58% ±34 | 61% ±55 | 1.3d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 137 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,088.13 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,025 (-2.0%) | 1.6 | <0.1% | 9m | 2.6d ago · 85× | 48% ±20 | 50% ±18 | 15% ±12 | 35% ±17 | 31 | 28% ±7 | 48% ±20 | 63% ±34 | 70% ±52 | 1.2d | 2.52% | 1.39% | 143 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.