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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-17 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,227.96 (+34.9%) | 23 | 0.4% | 3h | 21.2d ago · 44× | 2% ±5 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 6% ±15 | 33% ±46 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 181 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 3,871.14 (+23.5%) | 16 | 5.5% | 2.8d | 2.9d ago · 67× | 1% ±5 | 26% ±19 | 17% ±17 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 5% ±18 | 30% ±63 | > 7d | 1.04% | 1.80% | 101 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 3,639.52–3,702.12 (+16.1%) | 11 | 1.0% | 7h | 1.7d ago · 50× | 4% ±9 | 29% ±24 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 20% ±32 | 37% ±55 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 111 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,630.56 (+15.8%) | 11 | 1.3% | 10h | 3.1d ago · 70× | 6% ±6 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±6 | 19% ±18 | 42% ±34 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 343 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,467.47 (+10.6%) | 7.1 | 2.0% | 12h | 3.1d ago · 97× | 14% ±9 | 48% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±9 | 27% ±21 | 45% ±37 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.84% | 312 → 7 | |
| 14D POC | 3,427.9 (+9.3%) | 6.3 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 2.9d ago · 79× | 4% ±8 | 25% ±17 | 7% ±10 | 68% ±18 | 25 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±8 | 9% ±20 | 25% ±49 | > 7d | 2.04% | 1.84% | 137 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,389.13 (+8.1%) | 5.4 | 2.8% | 21h | 105.2d ago · 18× | 13% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 13% ±16 | 22% ±37 | 52% ±69 | 6.8d | — | — | 95 → 2 |
| 14D VAL | 3,207.99 (+2.3%) | 1.6 | 3.0% | 16h | 22.7d ago · 46× | 67% ±41 | 37% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 58% ±24 | 16 | 41% ±16 | 68% ±37 | 83% ±52 | 83% | 5h | 2.60% | 2.66% | 35 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 3,181.68 (+1.5%) | 1.0 | 3.1% | 20h | 2.9d ago · 104× | 83% ±15 | 48% ±16 | 5% ±7 | 48% ±16 | 37 | 64% ±8 | 83% ±15 | 87% ±24 | 93% ±26 | 2h | 2.17% | 1.74% | 147 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 3,163.77–3,226.37 (+0.9%) | 0.6 | 2.8% | 21h | 9.4d ago · 82× | 79% ±20 | 51% ±17 | 14% ±12 | 34% ±16 | 32 | 60% ±10 | 79% ±20 | 89% ±27 | 90% ±41 | 2h | 2.01% | 2.31% | 98 → 2 | |
| at post · 3,134.86 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,020.72 (-3.6%) | 2.4 | 0.2% | 20m | 2.7d ago · 85× | 38% ±18 | 50% ±18 | 15% ±12 | 35% ±17 | 31 | 15% ±6 | 40% ±18 | 60% ±32 | 69% ±45 | 1.5d | 2.52% | 1.39% | 166 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 3,134.86 | 3,181.68 | 2,940.3 | target | -3.30% |