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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-17 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,227.96 (+32.8%) | 22 | 0.4% | 3h | 21.0d ago · 44× | 1% ±4 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 7% ±14 | 33% ±41 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 207 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 3,871.14 (+21.6%) | 15 | 5.4% | 2.7d | 2.7d ago · 67× | 1% ±4 | 26% ±19 | 17% ±17 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 8% ±20 | 33% ±53 | > 7d | 1.04% | 1.80% | 123 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 3,639.52–3,702.12 (+14.3%) | 9.6 | 1.0% | 7h | 1.5d ago · 50× | 6% ±12 | 29% ±24 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±12 | 27% ±39 | 50% ±69 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 96 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,626.72 (+13.9%) | 9.3 | 1.4% | 11h | 2.9d ago · 70× | 8% ±7 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±7 | 23% ±19 | 47% ±35 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 348 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,460.05 (+8.7%) | 5.8 | 2.3% | 16h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 23% ±11 | 48% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 37 | 3% ±2 | 23% ±11 | 37% ±22 | 56% ±34 | 5.7d | 1.94% | 1.84% | 318 → 8 | |
| 14D POC | 3,432.14 (+7.8%) | 5.2 | 3.4% | 1.2d | 2.7d ago · 79× | 6% ±11 | 25% ±17 | 7% ±10 | 68% ±18 | 25 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±11 | 15% ±29 | 27% ±50 | > 7d | 2.04% | 1.84% | 107 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,389.13 (+6.4%) | 4.3 | 2.8% | 22h | 105.0d ago · 18× | 15% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 15% ±18 | 25% ±38 | 46% ±69 | > 7d | — | — | 87 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 3,389.13–3,451.73 (+6.4%) | 4.3 | 2.8% | 22h | 9.2d ago · 82× | 14% ±12 | 51% ±17 | 14% ±12 | 34% ±16 | 32 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±12 | 29% ±27 | 43% ±43 | > 7d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 196 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,207.04 (+0.7%) | 0.5 | 3.0% | 16h | 22.5d ago · 46× | 91% ±25 | 37% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 58% ±24 | 16 | 71% ±15 | 91% ±22 | 97% ±23 | 97% | 1h | 2.60% | 2.66% | 33 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,184.35 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 3,172.34 (-0.4%) | 0.3 | 3.2% | 24h | 2.6d ago · 106× | 87% ±17 | 56% ±14 | 2% ±4 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 74% ±9 | 87% ±16 | 90% ±26 | 95% ±30 | 1h | 2.70% | 1.25% | 98 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,020.41 (-5.1%) | 3.5 | 0.2% | 20m | 2.5d ago · 85× | 33% ±15 | 50% ±18 | 15% ±12 | 35% ±17 | 31 | 9% ±4 | 34% ±14 | 55% ±26 | 71% ±36 | 2.3d | 2.52% | 1.39% | 244 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.