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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-17 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,227.96 (+32.6%) | 22 | 0.4% | 3h | 21.0d ago · 44× | 1% ±4 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 7% ±14 | 32% ±41 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 213 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 3,871.14 (+21.4%) | 14 | 5.3% | 2.7d | 2.7d ago · 67× | 1% ±4 | 26% ±19 | 17% ±17 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 8% ±20 | 32% ±53 | > 7d | 1.04% | 1.80% | 126 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 3,639.52–3,702.12 (+14.1%) | 9.5 | 1.0% | 7h | 1.5d ago · 50× | 7% ±13 | 29% ±24 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±13 | 28% ±40 | 51% ±69 | 6.9d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 96 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,508.53 (+10.0%) | 6.7 | 2.3% | 12h | 2.9d ago · 70× | 11% ±9 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±9 | 30% ±22 | 53% ±37 | 6.5d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 306 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,453.58 (+8.3%) | 5.6 | 2.6% | 22h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 25% ±12 | 48% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 37 | 3% ±2 | 25% ±12 | 39% ±23 | 57% ±34 | 5.2d | 1.94% | 1.84% | 326 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,389.13 (+6.3%) | 4.2 | 2.8% | 22h | 105.0d ago · 18× | 15% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 15% ±19 | 26% ±38 | 45% ±69 | > 7d | — | — | 86 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 3,389.13–3,451.73 (+6.3%) | 4.2 | 2.8% | 22h | 9.2d ago · 82× | 16% ±12 | 51% ±17 | 14% ±12 | 34% ±16 | 32 | 3% ±2 | 16% ±13 | 30% ±27 | 42% ±43 | > 7d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 198 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,191.33–3,191.74 (+0.1%) | 0.0 | 3.5% | 21h | 2.7d ago · 104× | 94% ±12 | 38% ±16 | 6% ±8 | 56% ±16 | 37 | 85% ±7 | 94% ±11 | 95% ±17 | 96% ±26 | 1h | 2.12% | 1.78% | 102 → 2 | |
| at post · 3,188.96 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 3,120.43 (-2.1%) | 1.4 | 1.5% | 5h | 2.5d ago · 59× | 57% ±22 | 44% ±20 | 11% ±13 | 44% ±20 | 24 | 31% ±9 | 57% ±22 | 66% ±38 | 71% ±51 | 14h | 2.30% | 1.61% | 113 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,020.41 (-5.3%) | 3.6 | 0.2% | 20m | 2.5d ago · 85× | 32% ±14 | 50% ±18 | 15% ±12 | 35% ±17 | 31 | 8% ±3 | 34% ±14 | 55% ±26 | 72% ±36 | 2.3d | 2.52% | 1.39% | 253 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 3,188.96 | 3,020.41 | 3,453.58 | target | +4.07% |
| 14d | POC | short | 3,188.96 | 3,120.43 | 3,508.53 | target | +4.07% |