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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-20 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,225.4 (+39.6%) | 27 | 0.4% | 3h | 21.0d ago · 44× | 1% ±4 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 4% ±13 | 30% ±45 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 161 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 3,859.7 (+27.5%) | 19 | 3.8% | 1.9d | 2.8d ago · 67× | 1% ±6 | 26% ±19 | 17% ±17 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 6% ±21 | 13% ±47 | > 7d | 1.04% | 1.80% | 92 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 3,632–3,701 (+20.0%) | 14 | 1.1% | 9h | 1.5d ago · 50× | 1% ±3 | 29% ±24 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 10% ±20 | 21% ±40 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 160 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,422.5 (+13.1%) | 9.0 | 2.8% | 1.0d | 2.9d ago · 70× | 8% ±7 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±7 | 23% ±18 | 45% ±33 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 367 → 9 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D VAL | 3,218.05–3,231.8 (+6.3%) | 4.3 | 2.4% | 13h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 26% ±12 | 48% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 37 | 4% ±2 | 25% ±11 | 40% ±23 | 57% ±34 | 3.7d | 1.94% | 1.84% | 330 → 8 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 3,189.82–3,190.93 (+5.4%) | 3.7 | 3.3% | 23h | 2.8d ago · 104× | 20% ±16 | 41% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 53% ±16 | 39 | 5% ±3 | 19% ±15 | 32% ±32 | 48% ±49 | > 7d | 2.15% | 1.71% | 152 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 3,080–3,093.8 (+1.7%) | 1.2 | 2.1% | 10h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 66% ±19 | 54% ±17 | 14% ±11 | 32% ±16 | 34 | 39% ±8 | 66% ±18 | 75% ±28 | 77% ±41 | 8h | 2.07% | 1.99% | 153 → 4 | |
| at post · 3,027.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,017.29 (-0.3%) | 0.2 | 2.2% | 13h | 2.5d ago · 85× | 74% ±24 | 54% ±17 | 14% ±11 | 32% ±16 | 34 | 63% ±11 | 75% ±23 | 84% ±36 | 86% ±47 | 2h | 2.57% | 1.62% | 79 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,951.5 (-2.5%) | 1.7 | 0.7% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 59× | 55% ±22 | 41% ±19 | 10% ±12 | 48% ±19 | 26 | 23% ±7 | 55% ±21 | 65% ±35 | 73% ±50 | 18h | 2.30% | 2.04% | 127 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 3,027.4 | 3,189.82 | 2,981.16 | stop | -9.94% |