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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-20 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,224.86 (+47.7%) | 31 | 0.4% | 3h | 21.0d ago · 44× | 2% ±5 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 4% ±14 | 23% ±48 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 129 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 3,866.08 (+35.1%) | 23 | 3.5% | 1.9d | 2.8d ago · 67× | 2% ±8 | 26% ±19 | 17% ±17 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 9% ±28 | 17% ±52 | > 7d | 1.04% | 1.80% | 67 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 3,633.92–3,704.27 (+27.0%) | 18 | 1.0% | 8h | 1.5d ago · 50× | 1% ±3 | 29% ±24 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±12 | 13% ±33 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 161 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,414.4 (+19.3%) | 13 | 2.5% | 23h | 2.9d ago · 70× | 5% ±6 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 14% ±16 | 34% ±33 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 320 → 8 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D VAL · 7D VAH | 3,190.63–3,217.14 (+11.5%) | 7.5 | 3.3% | 22h | 2.8d ago · 104× | 5% ±6 | 43% ±16 | 6% ±8 | 50% ±16 | 39 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 16% ±17 | 35% ±33 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.76% | 319 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 3,014.84–3,071.12 (+5.4%) | 3.5 | 2.3% | 13h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 24% ±15 | 54% ±17 | 14% ±11 | 32% ±16 | 34 | 4% ±3 | 24% ±15 | 37% ±28 | 43% ±43 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.99% | 196 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,014.7 (+5.4%) | 3.5 | 2.3% | 13h | 6.8d ago · 56× | 25% ±27 | 57% ±23 | 5% ±10 | 38% ±22 | 18 | 3% ±5 | 25% ±27 | 51% ±57 | 59% | 2.9d | 3.58% | 2.04% | 59 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,927.2 (+2.3%) | 1.5 | 0.6% | 1h | 22.5d ago · 46× | 74% ±32 | 38% ±22 | 5% ±10 | 57% ±23 | 18 | 39% ±15 | 75% ±32 | 86% ±48 | 86% | 6h | 3.00% | 2.55% | 42 → 1 | |
| at post · 2,861.21 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 2,861.21 | 2,374.01 | 3,191.1 | expired | +3.49% |