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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-21 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,223.32 (+49.9%) | 29 | 0.4% | 4h | 21.3d ago · 44× | 1% ±5 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±5 | 4% ±14 | 24% ±48 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 146 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 3,859.7 (+37.0%) | 22 | 3.6% | 1.9d | 3.0d ago · 67× | 1% ±6 | 26% ±19 | 17% ±17 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 7% ±25 | 14% ±48 | > 7d | 1.04% | 1.80% | 80 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,391.26 (+20.4%) | 12 | 2.6% | 23h | 3.2d ago · 70× | 5% ±6 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 15% ±16 | 36% ±33 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 338 → 8 | |
| 14D POC · 30D VAL · 7D VAH | 3,182.31–3,207.24 (+12.9%) | 7.6 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 3.0d ago · 97× | 5% ±6 | 39% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 53% ±16 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 15% ±16 | 33% ±33 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.83% | 321 → 8 | |
| 7D POC | 3,019.71 (+7.2%) | 4.2 | 2.7% | 15h | 3.0d ago · 104× | 14% ±14 | 50% ±16 | 5% ±7 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 3% ±3 | 14% ±13 | 25% ±28 | 43% ±48 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.63% | 155 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 3,006.32–3,065.69 (+6.7%) | 3.9 | 2.3% | 12h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 19% ±13 | 54% ±17 | 14% ±11 | 32% ±16 | 34 | 3% ±2 | 19% ±13 | 32% ±26 | 41% ±43 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.99% | 207 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,988.05 (+6.0%) | 3.6 | 1.8% | 7h | 7.0d ago · 56× | 23% ±26 | 59% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 36% ±22 | 19 | 3% ±4 | 23% ±26 | 51% ±57 | 59% | 2.9d | 3.74% | 1.74% | 62 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 2,872.75–2,946.96 (+2.0%) | 1.2 | 0.8% | 3h | 1.8d ago · 50× | 64% ±31 | 29% ±24 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 36% ±13 | 64% ±31 | 82% ±43 | 95% | 13h | 2.25% | 1.24% | 54 → 1 | |
| at post · 2,817.71 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 2,804.43 (-0.5%) | 0.3 | 0.6% | 2h | 2.8d ago · 59× | 82% ±24 | 41% ±19 | 10% ±12 | 48% ±19 | 26 | 65% ±12 | 82% ±24 | 85% ±40 | 87% | 2h | 2.30% | 2.04% | 60 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 2,817.71 | 3,182.31 | 2,698.8 | stop | -2.53% |