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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-21 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,043.65 (+47.8%) | 24 | 0.4% | 3h | 21.2d ago · 44× | 2% ±4 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 5% ±12 | 28% ±40 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 198 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 3,858.46 (+41.0%) | 21 | 3.8% | 2.0d | 2.9d ago · 67× | 1% ±6 | 26% ±19 | 17% ±17 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 7% ±22 | 14% ±48 | > 7d | 1.04% | 1.80% | 88 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,394.01 (+24.0%) | 12 | 2.8% | 1.1d | 3.1d ago · 70× | 5% ±6 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 15% ±16 | 36% ±33 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 335 → 8 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAH | 3,185.86–3,213.02 (+16.4%) | 8.3 | 3.9% | 1.2d | 2.9d ago · 97× | 4% ±5 | 39% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 53% ±16 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 13% ±16 | 31% ±34 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.83% | 310 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,125.76 (+14.2%) | 7.2 | 2.7% | 13h | 105.2d ago · 18× | 7% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±2 | 7% ±11 | 14% ±27 | 34% ±54 | > 7d | — | — | 115 → 3 |
| 7D POC | 3,025.96 (+10.6%) | 5.3 | 3.1% | 18h | 2.9d ago · 104× | 8% ±11 | 50% ±16 | 5% ±7 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±11 | 20% ±26 | 39% ±48 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.63% | 157 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 2,996.93–3,222.38 (+9.5%) | 4.8 | 2.2% | 10h | 9.4d ago · 82× | 13% ±11 | 54% ±17 | 14% ±11 | 32% ±16 | 34 | 1% ±2 | 12% ±11 | 27% ±25 | 42% ±43 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.99% | 218 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,973.83 (+8.7%) | 4.4 | 1.6% | 5h | 6.9d ago · 56× | 20% ±25 | 59% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 36% ±22 | 19 | 2% ±3 | 20% ±25 | 50% ±57 | 60% | 3.0d | 3.74% | 1.74% | 62 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 2,900.31–2,932.51 (+6.0%) | 3.0 | 0.8% | 3h | 1.7d ago · 50× | 54% ±31 | 29% ±24 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 15% ±9 | 54% ±31 | 69% ±52 | 85% | 21h | 2.25% | 1.24% | 59 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,764.49 (+1.0%) | 0.5 | 0.2% | 20m | 22.7d ago · 46× | 93% ±19 | 41% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 55% ±22 | 19 | 69% ±14 | 92% ±20 | 98% ±21 | 98% | 1h | 3.10% | 2.63% | 40 → 1 | |
| at post · 2,736.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.