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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-21 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,648.79 (+32.1%) | 14 | 0.8% | 6h | 21.0d ago · 44× | 2% ±4 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 13% ±14 | 36% ±31 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 388 → 9 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,356.98 (+21.6%) | 9.5 | 2.2% | 14h | 2.9d ago · 70× | 8% ±7 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±7 | 22% ±18 | 44% ±32 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 374 → 9 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAH | 3,185.71–3,223.36 (+15.4%) | 6.8 | 4.4% | 1.4d | 2.8d ago · 97× | 7% ±7 | 36% ±15 | 10% ±10 | 54% ±16 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±7 | 17% ±17 | 37% ±33 | > 7d | 1.76% | 1.83% | 321 → 8 | |
| 7D POC | 3,025.38 (+9.6%) | 4.2 | 3.4% | 20h | 2.8d ago · 104× | 14% ±13 | 50% ±16 | 5% ±7 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 3% ±3 | 14% ±13 | 25% ±28 | 42% ±48 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.63% | 158 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 2,995.59–3,224.21 (+8.5%) | 3.7 | 2.5% | 11h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 21% ±14 | 54% ±17 | 14% ±11 | 32% ±16 | 34 | 3% ±3 | 20% ±14 | 33% ±28 | 41% ±43 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.99% | 201 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,909.11 (+5.4%) | 2.4 | 0.9% | 3h | 6.8d ago · 56× | 34% ±35 | 59% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 36% ±22 | 19 | 9% ±9 | 33% ±35 | 50% ±69 | 63% | 2.7d | 3.74% | 1.74% | 41 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 2,766.97–2,815.96 (+0.2%) | 0.1 | 0.9% | 2h | 1.5d ago · 50× | 80% ±39 | 29% ±24 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 73% ±18 | 81% ±39 | 96% | 96% | 1h | 2.25% | 1.24% | 24 → 1 | |
| at post · 2,761.32 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 2,701.65 (-2.2%) | 1.0 | 1.3% | 3h | 22.6d ago · 30× | 82% ±38 | 43% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 57% ±19 | 82% ±38 | 82% | 89% | 2h | 1.66% | 2.76% | 26 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,620 (-5.1%) | 2.3 | <0.1% | 8m | 2.5d ago · 59× | 47% ±21 | 40% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 50% ±19 | 27 | 14% ±6 | 47% ±21 | 59% ±36 | 65% ±54 | 1.8d | 2.21% | 2.29% | 131 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 2,761.32 | 3,199.72 | 2,531.16 | expired | -0.27% |