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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-21 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,648.79 (+33.3%) | 15 | 0.8% | 6h | 21.1d ago · 44× | 2% ±4 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 12% ±14 | 35% ±31 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 387 → 9 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,273.94 (+19.6%) | 8.6 | 1.9% | 7h | 3.0d ago · 70× | 8% ±7 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±7 | 23% ±18 | 45% ±33 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 377 → 9 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAH | 3,185.71–3,223.36 (+16.4%) | 7.2 | 4.3% | 1.4d | 2.8d ago · 97× | 6% ±7 | 36% ±15 | 10% ±10 | 54% ±16 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±6 | 16% ±17 | 35% ±33 | > 7d | 1.76% | 1.83% | 324 → 8 | |
| 7D POC | 3,025.38 (+10.6%) | 4.6 | 3.4% | 20h | 2.8d ago · 104× | 12% ±12 | 50% ±16 | 5% ±7 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±12 | 22% ±27 | 41% ±48 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.63% | 158 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 2,995.59–3,224.21 (+9.5%) | 4.1 | 2.5% | 11h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 18% ±13 | 54% ±17 | 14% ±11 | 32% ±16 | 34 | 2% ±2 | 18% ±13 | 30% ±26 | 41% ±43 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.99% | 211 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,883.97 (+5.4%) | 2.4 | 1.1% | 4h | 6.8d ago · 56× | 33% ±35 | 59% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 36% ±22 | 19 | 9% ±9 | 33% ±35 | 50% ±69 | 63% | 3.0d | 3.74% | 1.74% | 42 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 2,881.28–2,946.6 (+5.3%) | 2.3 | 1.0% | 4h | 1.6d ago · 50× | 48% ±33 | 29% ±24 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 14% ±9 | 48% ±33 | 68% ±53 | 86% | 1.0d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 56 → 1 | |
| at post · 2,736.46 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 2,701.65 (-1.3%) | 0.6 | 1.4% | 3h | 22.7d ago · 30× | 81% ±38 | 43% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 61% ±19 | 82% ±38 | 82% | 89% | 2h | 1.66% | 2.76% | 26 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,630.38 (-3.9%) | 1.7 | 0.2% | 14m | 2.6d ago · 59× | 56% ±21 | 40% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 50% ±19 | 27 | 25% ±7 | 56% ±21 | 66% ±35 | 73% ±50 | 14h | 2.21% | 2.29% | 129 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.