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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-22 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,648.79 (+32.0%) | 14 | 0.8% | 6h | 21.1d ago · 44× | 2% ±4 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 12% ±14 | 36% ±31 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 387 → 9 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,273.94 (+18.4%) | 8.2 | 1.9% | 7h | 3.0d ago · 70× | 9% ±7 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±7 | 24% ±18 | 47% ±33 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 370 → 9 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAH | 3,185.71–3,223.36 (+15.2%) | 6.8 | 4.3% | 1.4d | 2.8d ago · 97× | 7% ±7 | 36% ±15 | 10% ±10 | 54% ±16 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±7 | 17% ±17 | 36% ±33 | > 7d | 1.76% | 1.83% | 324 → 8 | |
| 7D POC | 3,025.38 (+9.4%) | 4.2 | 3.4% | 20h | 2.8d ago · 104× | 14% ±13 | 50% ±16 | 5% ±7 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 3% ±3 | 14% ±13 | 24% ±28 | 42% ±48 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.63% | 160 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 2,995.59–3,224.21 (+8.3%) | 3.7 | 2.5% | 11h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 22% ±14 | 54% ±17 | 14% ±11 | 32% ±16 | 34 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±14 | 33% ±28 | 41% ±43 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.99% | 204 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 2,881.28–2,946.6 (+4.2%) | 1.9 | 1.0% | 4h | 1.6d ago · 50× | 54% ±33 | 29% ±24 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 18% ±10 | 52% ±33 | 71% ±51 | 89% | 1.0d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 55 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,871.4 (+3.9%) | 1.7 | 1.1% | 4h | 6.8d ago · 56× | 51% ±37 | 59% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 36% ±22 | 19 | 26% ±13 | 50% ±37 | 63% ±67 | 73% | 18h | 3.74% | 1.74% | 41 → 1 | |
| at post · 2,764.91 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 2,717.98 (-1.7%) | 0.8 | 1.7% | 5h | 22.7d ago · 30× | 81% ±38 | 43% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 62% ±18 | 83% ±33 | 83% ±52 | 90% | 2h | 1.66% | 2.76% | 27 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,661.52 (-3.7%) | 1.7 | 0.5% | 51m | 2.6d ago · 59× | 57% ±21 | 40% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 50% ±19 | 27 | 26% ±8 | 57% ±21 | 66% ±35 | 73% ±50 | 14h | 2.21% | 2.29% | 127 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 2,764.91 | 3,199.72 | 2,550.43 | expired | +0.25% |