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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-11-22 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,648.79 (+32.9%) | 16 | 0.7% | 5h | 21.0d ago · 44× | 1% ±3 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 10% ±13 | 32% ±31 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 364 → 9 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,253.18 (+18.5%) | 8.8 | 1.7% | 6h | 2.9d ago · 70× | 8% ±7 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±7 | 23% ±18 | 44% ±32 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 379 → 9 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAH | 3,185.71–3,223.36 (+16.0%) | 7.6 | 4.0% | 1.3d | 2.8d ago · 97× | 5% ±6 | 36% ±15 | 10% ±10 | 54% ±16 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 14% ±16 | 34% ±33 | > 7d | 1.76% | 1.83% | 325 → 8 | |
| 7D POC | 3,025.38 (+10.2%) | 4.8 | 3.2% | 18h | 2.8d ago · 104× | 10% ±11 | 50% ±16 | 5% ±7 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±11 | 20% ±26 | 39% ±48 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.63% | 159 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 2,995.59–3,224.21 (+9.1%) | 4.3 | 2.3% | 10h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 15% ±12 | 54% ±17 | 14% ±11 | 32% ±16 | 34 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±12 | 29% ±26 | 41% ±43 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.99% | 214 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 2,881.28–2,946.6 (+4.9%) | 2.3 | 1.0% | 4h | 1.5d ago · 50× | 48% ±33 | 33% ±24 | 17% ±19 | 50% ±25 | 15 | 13% ±9 | 47% ±31 | 67% ±53 | 85% | 1.0d | 3.04% | 1.21% | 58 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,865.12 (+4.3%) | 2.1 | 1.0% | 4h | 6.8d ago · 56× | 38% ±39 | 59% ±22 | 5% ±9 | 36% ±22 | 19 | 16% ±11 | 36% ±36 | 52% ±69 | 65% | 2.7d | 3.74% | 1.74% | 41 → 1 | |
| at post · 2,746.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 2,717.98 (-1.0%) | 0.5 | 1.6% | 5h | 22.6d ago · 30× | 81% ±39 | 43% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 62% ±18 | 83% ±33 | 83% ±52 | 90% | 2h | 1.66% | 2.76% | 27 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,661.52 (-3.1%) | 1.5 | 0.5% | 46m | 2.5d ago · 59× | 61% ±21 | 40% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 50% ±19 | 27 | 31% ±8 | 60% ±21 | 68% ±34 | 73% ±50 | 12h | 2.21% | 2.29% | 126 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.