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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-02 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,644.63–3,709.48 (+30.0%) | 29 | 0.4% | 3h | 1.6d ago · 50× | 1% ±3 | 37% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 5% ±21 | > 7d | 3.24% | 1.24% | 160 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,346.32 (+19.3%) | 19 | 0.9% | 6h | 21.1d ago · 44× | 1% ±2 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±11 | 27% ±29 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 359 → 9 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 3,070.41–3,072.33 (+9.5%) | 9.2 | 1.7% | 8h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 6% ±6 | 48% ±16 | 6% ±7 | 46% ±16 | 39 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±6 | 18% ±16 | 36% ±30 | > 7d | 1.95% | 2.21% | 415 → 10 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 3,028.53–3,034.71 (+8.0%) | 7.7 | 3.5% | 1.6d | 2.8d ago · 104× | 4% ±6 | 37% ±15 | 8% ±8 | 55% ±15 | 41 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 11% ±17 | 32% ±41 | > 7d | 1.96% | 1.63% | 211 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 2,931.28–2,957.22 (+4.5%) | 4.4 | 1.6% | 11h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 13% ±10 | 53% ±16 | 15% ±12 | 33% ±15 | 37 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±10 | 30% ±24 | 45% ±40 | > 7d | 2.06% | 2.04% | 248 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,881.87 (+2.8%) | 2.7 | 1.0% | 5h | 6.8d ago · 56× | 33% ±29 | 61% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 7% ±6 | 32% ±28 | 52% ±49 | 70% ±63 | 2.7d | 3.58% | 1.73% | 66 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,803.84 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 2,801.26 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.0% | 16h | 2.6d ago · 59× | 85% ±25 | 42% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 48% ±19 | 28 | 69% ±13 | 85% ±23 | 85% ±40 | 85% | 1h | 2.19% | 2.45% | 52 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,697.82 (-3.8%) | 3.7 | 0.5% | 1h | 22.7d ago · 30× | 22% ±17 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 5% ±4 | 22% ±16 | 32% ±32 | 45% ±56 | > 7d | 3.29% | 1.41% | 143 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 2,803.84 | 3,034.71 | 2,752.82 | target | +8.97% |