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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-02 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,643.05–3,707.8 (+30.2%) | 30 | 0.4% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 50× | 1% ±3 | 37% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 5% ±21 | > 7d | 3.24% | 1.24% | 157 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,345.2 (+19.6%) | 19 | 0.9% | 6h | 20.8d ago · 44× | 1% ±2 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±11 | 26% ±30 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 345 → 8 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 3,070.41–3,072.33 (+9.8%) | 9.5 | 1.7% | 8h | 2.7d ago · 97× | 6% ±5 | 48% ±16 | 6% ±7 | 46% ±16 | 39 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 17% ±15 | 35% ±30 | > 7d | 1.95% | 2.21% | 422 → 10 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 3,027.93–3,034.71 (+8.2%) | 8.1 | 3.4% | 1.6d | 2.6d ago · 104× | 4% ±6 | 37% ±15 | 8% ±8 | 55% ±15 | 41 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 10% ±17 | 31% ±41 | > 7d | 1.96% | 1.63% | 214 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 2,917.85–2,956.7 (+4.3%) | 4.2 | 1.5% | 11h | 9.1d ago · 82× | 15% ±11 | 53% ±16 | 15% ±12 | 33% ±15 | 37 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±11 | 31% ±24 | 44% ±40 | > 7d | 2.06% | 2.04% | 245 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,874.25 (+2.8%) | 2.7 | 1.1% | 4h | 6.6d ago · 56× | 33% ±29 | 61% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 35% ±21 | 20 | 7% ±6 | 31% ±27 | 51% ±49 | 70% ±64 | 2.9d | 3.58% | 1.73% | 67 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,801.26 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.1% | 18h | 22.3d ago · 46× | 92% ±22 | 39% ±21 | 9% ±12 | 52% ±22 | 20 | 82% ±13 | 92% ±22 | 97% ±22 | 97% | 1h | 3.15% | 2.55% | 36 → 1 | |
| at post · 2,797.19 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 2,697.7 (-3.6%) | 3.5 | 0.5% | 1h | 22.4d ago · 30× | 24% ±18 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 5% ±4 | 24% ±18 | 34% ±35 | 47% ±56 | > 7d | 3.29% | 1.41% | 129 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 2,797.19 | 2,528.04 | 3,034.71 | stop | -9.03% |