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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-03 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,318.96 (+8.8%) | 8.2 | 1.4% | 9h | 21.1d ago · 44× | 5% ±6 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 21% ±18 | 40% ±34 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 343 → 8 | |
| LVN zone | 3,240.05–3,273.87 (+6.2%) | 5.8 | 1.1% | 5h | 1.6d ago · 50× | 24% ±23 | 37% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 4% ±4 | 24% ±23 | 53% ±49 | 70% ±64 | 2.8d | 3.24% | 1.24% | 78 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,149.86–3,217.5 (+3.3%) | 3.0 | 1.7% | 12h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 31% ±15 | 51% ±16 | 15% ±11 | 34% ±15 | 38 | 7% ±3 | 32% ±15 | 47% ±28 | 55% ±44 | 5.5d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 220 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,091.38 (+1.4%) | 1.3 | 1.6% | 9h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 60% ±20 | 48% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 38% ±8 | 60% ±20 | 78% ±29 | 87% ±38 | 9h | 1.94% | 2.05% | 136 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,063.66 (+0.5%) | 0.4 | 2.3% | 14h | 3.0d ago · 70× | 75% ±25 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 65% ±12 | 76% ±25 | 79% ±40 | 80% ±55 | 1h | 1.98% | 2.49% | 64 → 2 | |
| at post · 3,049.86 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 3,026.69–3,031.49 (-0.6%) | 0.6 | 4.2% | 1.9d | 2.7d ago · 106× | 84% ±16 | 51% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 43% ±14 | 48 | 70% ±8 | 84% ±16 | 89% ±23 | 94% ±27 | 1h | 2.25% | 1.65% | 127 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 2,935.66–2,946.93 (-3.4%) | 3.1 | 1.7% | 10h | 4.3d ago · 84× | 49% ±20 | 48% ±14 | 18% ±11 | 34% ±14 | 47 | 12% ±5 | 49% ±20 | 78% ±29 | 88% ±37 | 1.0d | 2.66% | 1.54% | 145 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,885.68 (-5.4%) | 5.0 | 1.3% | 7h | 2.6d ago · 85× | 23% ±11 | 51% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 3% ±2 | 23% ±11 | 45% ±23 | 68% ±32 | 4.2d | 2.52% | 1.96% | 328 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,807.32 (-8.0%) | 7.4 | 2.6% | 1.0d | 2.6d ago · 59× | 11% ±9 | 44% ±18 | 9% ±11 | 47% ±18 | 29 | 2% ±1 | 11% ±8 | 39% ±23 | 67% ±35 | 4.2d | 2.21% | 2.29% | 311 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,710.19 (-11.1%) | 10 | 1.0% | 4h | 22.7d ago · 30× | 3% ±5 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 18% ±18 | 42% ±34 | > 7d | 3.29% | 1.41% | 328 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 3,049.86 | 3,026.69 | 3,109.81 | stop | -4.37% |