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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-03 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,318.96 (+7.8%) | 7.1 | 1.4% | 9h | 20.9d ago · 44× | 6% ±7 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 0% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 22% ±20 | 43% ±37 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 300 → 7 | |
| LVN zone | 3,240.05–3,273.87 (+5.2%) | 4.8 | 1.1% | 5h | 1.4d ago · 50× | 35% ±27 | 37% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 7% ±6 | 35% ±27 | 58% ±48 | 77% ±58 | 2.4d | 3.24% | 1.24% | 74 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,149.86–3,217.5 (+2.3%) | 2.1 | 1.7% | 12h | 9.1d ago · 82× | 44% ±18 | 51% ±16 | 15% ±11 | 34% ±15 | 38 | 12% ±5 | 44% ±18 | 57% ±31 | 61% ±48 | 1.3d | 2.01% | 2.31% | 171 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,091.38 (+0.4%) | 0.3 | 1.7% | 9h | 2.8d ago · 97× | 80% ±21 | 48% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 65% ±10 | 81% ±21 | 91% ±25 | 93% ±35 | 2h | 1.94% | 2.05% | 86 → 2 | |
| at post · 3,080.16 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 3,061.31 (-0.6%) | 0.6 | 2.5% | 17h | 13.3d ago · 55× | 86% ±21 | 64% ±20 | 4% ±8 | 32% ±19 | 22 | 65% ±11 | 86% ±21 | 88% ±31 | 88% ±44 | 2h | 2.59% | 1.82% | 67 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,028.53–3,031.49 (-1.6%) | 1.5 | 4.3% | 1.9d | 2.4d ago · 106× | 67% ±20 | 51% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 43% ±14 | 48 | 42% ±8 | 67% ±19 | 79% ±28 | 90% ±35 | 6h | 2.25% | 1.65% | 135 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 2,935.66–2,946.93 (-4.3%) | 4.0 | 1.7% | 10h | 4.1d ago · 84× | 44% ±20 | 48% ±14 | 18% ±11 | 34% ±14 | 47 | 10% ±5 | 44% ±20 | 75% ±30 | 84% ±41 | 1.2d | 2.66% | 1.54% | 142 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,889.49 (-6.2%) | 5.7 | 1.4% | 7h | 2.4d ago · 85× | 20% ±10 | 51% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 37% ±15 | 38 | 3% ±2 | 20% ±10 | 41% ±22 | 65% ±33 | 4.5d | 2.52% | 1.96% | 349 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,809.13 (-8.8%) | 8.1 | 2.7% | 1.0d | 2.4d ago · 59× | 11% ±8 | 44% ±18 | 9% ±11 | 47% ±18 | 29 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±22 | 63% ±33 | 4.5d | 2.21% | 2.29% | 326 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,710.19 (-12.0%) | 11 | 1.0% | 4h | 22.5d ago · 30× | 3% ±4 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 16% ±17 | 41% ±34 | > 7d | 3.29% | 1.41% | 337 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.