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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-08 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,242.8–3,377.74 (+4.4%) | 3.6 | 0.6% | 3h | 1.8d ago · 50× | 47% ±25 | 40% ±23 | 15% ±17 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 8% ±5 | 46% ±24 | 68% ±41 | 86% ±49 | 1.1d | 3.44% | 1.21% | 96 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,222.04 (+3.7%) | 3.0 | 1.7% | 10h | 21.3d ago · 44× | 39% ±23 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 6% ±5 | 39% ±22 | 56% ±40 | 69% ±52 | 1.9d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 107 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 3,181.94–3,192.8 (+2.4%) | 2.0 | 3.7% | 1.3d | 3.2d ago · 97× | 51% ±17 | 47% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 47% ±15 | 41 | 19% ±5 | 51% ±17 | 65% ±28 | 78% ±36 | 22h | 1.89% | 2.32% | 205 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 3,133.43 (+0.9%) | 0.7 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 3.0d ago · 104× | 85% ±14 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 68% ±7 | 85% ±14 | 89% ±22 | 93% ±24 | 1h | 2.20% | 1.58% | 150 → 4 | |
| at post · 3,106.66 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 3,012.11–3,030.01 (-2.5%) | 2.0 | 6.9% | 3.2d | 2.8d ago · 85× | 50% ±17 | 50% ±16 | 11% ±10 | 39% ±15 | 39 | 23% ±6 | 49% ±17 | 71% ±27 | 79% ±36 | 1.0d | 2.41% | 1.67% | 197 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,931.76 (-5.6%) | 4.6 | 2.4% | 15h | 2.8d ago · 59× | 26% ±14 | 44% ±18 | 9% ±11 | 47% ±18 | 29 | 4% ±3 | 26% ±14 | 48% ±27 | 73% ±36 | 3.2d | 2.21% | 2.29% | 236 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 2,796.46–2,837.98 (-8.6%) | 7.0 | 3.1% | 20h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 16% ±14 | 49% ±14 | 18% ±11 | 33% ±13 | 48 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±14 | 33% ±31 | 41% ±48 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.58% | 163 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,806.84 (-9.7%) | 7.8 | 3.2% | 1.1d | 1.2d ago · 31× | 5% ±6 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 22% ±20 | 45% ±37 | > 7d | 3.29% | 1.41% | 292 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.