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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-08 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,242.8–3,388.12 (+3.5%) | 2.9 | 0.6% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 50× | 47% ±26 | 40% ±23 | 15% ±17 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 10% ±6 | 46% ±25 | 67% ±41 | 85% ±49 | 1.1d | 3.44% | 1.21% | 90 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,222.04 (+2.8%) | 2.3 | 1.6% | 10h | 20.8d ago · 44× | 45% ±26 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 12% ±7 | 44% ±25 | 60% ±43 | 72% ±62 | 1.6d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 91 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 3,190.82–3,197.57 (+1.8%) | 1.5 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 2.7d ago · 97× | 56% ±19 | 47% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 47% ±15 | 41 | 33% ±7 | 55% ±19 | 71% ±30 | 81% ±39 | 17h | 1.89% | 2.32% | 162 → 4 | |
| at post · 3,134.62 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 3,130.25 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 2.4d ago · 106× | 88% ±15 | 52% ±14 | 4% ±5 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 73% ±8 | 87% ±15 | 92% ±21 | 97% ±19 | 1h | 2.39% | 1.61% | 111 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 3,016.39–3,030.01 (-3.3%) | 2.8 | 6.8% | 3.2d | 2.3d ago · 85× | 43% ±15 | 50% ±16 | 11% ±10 | 39% ±15 | 39 | 13% ±4 | 43% ±15 | 63% ±25 | 75% ±35 | 1.5d | 2.41% | 1.67% | 250 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,942.19 (-6.1%) | 5.2 | 2.2% | 12h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 21% ±12 | 44% ±18 | 9% ±11 | 47% ±18 | 29 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±12 | 44% ±25 | 72% ±33 | 3.9d | 2.21% | 2.29% | 276 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 2,796.46–2,837.98 (-9.5%) | 8.0 | 3.0% | 20h | 4.1d ago · 84× | 11% ±12 | 49% ±14 | 18% ±11 | 33% ±13 | 48 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±11 | 28% ±28 | 33% ±46 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.58% | 175 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,806.84 (-10.5%) | 8.8 | 3.1% | 1.1d | 22.4d ago · 30× | 4% ±5 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 20% ±18 | 42% ±34 | > 7d | 3.29% | 1.41% | 335 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 3,134.62 | 3,190.82 | 3,016.39 | target | +6.11% |