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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-09 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,242.8–3,388.12 (+4.4%) | 4.4 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.3d ago · 50× | 35% ±24 | 40% ±23 | 15% ±17 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 5% ±4 | 34% ±23 | 56% ±44 | 75% ±60 | 2.4d | 3.44% | 1.21% | 97 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,222.04 (+3.7%) | 3.8 | 1.4% | 8h | 20.8d ago · 44× | 31% ±20 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 5% ±4 | 30% ±20 | 51% ±37 | 62% ±55 | 2.6d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 126 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 3,193.4–3,197.57 (+2.8%) | 2.8 | 2.7% | 22h | 2.8d ago · 97× | 43% ±15 | 47% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 47% ±15 | 41 | 11% ±4 | 43% ±15 | 60% ±25 | 75% ±35 | 1.6d | 1.89% | 2.32% | 261 → 6 | |
| 7D POC | 3,131.48 (+0.8%) | 0.8 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 2.6d ago · 104× | 85% ±14 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 67% ±7 | 85% ±14 | 89% ±21 | 94% ±24 | 1h | 2.20% | 1.58% | 157 → 4 | |
| at post · 3,106.02 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 3,023.7–3,030.01 (-2.4%) | 2.5 | 5.7% | 2.7d | 2.3d ago · 85× | 47% ±17 | 51% ±16 | 11% ±10 | 38% ±15 | 39 | 17% ±5 | 46% ±16 | 66% ±27 | 76% ±38 | 1.3d | 2.52% | 1.62% | 217 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,952.61 (-4.9%) | 5.0 | 1.8% | 9h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 23% ±13 | 44% ±18 | 9% ±11 | 47% ±18 | 29 | 3% ±2 | 23% ±12 | 45% ±25 | 74% ±35 | 3.8d | 2.21% | 2.29% | 266 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 2,796.46–2,837.98 (-8.6%) | 8.7 | 2.5% | 17h | 4.1d ago · 84× | 8% ±10 | 49% ±14 | 18% ±11 | 33% ±13 | 48 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±10 | 23% ±26 | 28% ±44 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.58% | 185 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,817.22 (-9.3%) | 9.3 | 2.7% | 21h | 22.5d ago · 30× | 3% ±5 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 18% ±17 | 41% ±34 | > 7d | 3.29% | 1.41% | 343 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.