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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-09 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,242.8–3,398.5 (+4.0%) | 4.0 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.6d ago · 50× | 38% ±25 | 40% ±23 | 15% ±17 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 5% ±4 | 36% ±24 | 57% ±43 | 76% ±59 | 2.0d | 3.44% | 1.21% | 94 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,222.04 (+3.3%) | 3.3 | 1.4% | 8h | 21.1d ago · 44× | 33% ±21 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 5% ±4 | 32% ±20 | 50% ±37 | 63% ±55 | 2.6d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 117 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 3,190.29–3,197.57 (+2.3%) | 2.3 | 2.9% | 23h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 47% ±17 | 47% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 47% ±15 | 41 | 15% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 63% ±27 | 76% ±37 | 1.2d | 1.89% | 2.32% | 210 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 3,130.18 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 2.8d ago · 104× | 91% ±13 | 51% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±15 | 42 | 78% ±7 | 91% ±12 | 93% ±19 | 95% ±24 | 1h | 2.20% | 1.58% | 128 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,119.54 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 3,025.54–3,030.01 (-2.9%) | 2.9 | 5.7% | 2.7d | 2.6d ago · 85× | 43% ±15 | 51% ±16 | 11% ±10 | 38% ±15 | 39 | 13% ±4 | 42% ±15 | 63% ±25 | 74% ±35 | 1.5d | 2.52% | 1.62% | 243 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,957.82 (-5.2%) | 5.2 | 1.9% | 9h | 2.6d ago · 59× | 21% ±12 | 44% ±18 | 9% ±11 | 47% ±18 | 29 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±12 | 44% ±24 | 72% ±33 | 4.0d | 2.21% | 2.29% | 282 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 2,796.46–2,837.98 (-9.0%) | 9.1 | 2.5% | 17h | 4.3d ago · 84× | 8% ±10 | 49% ±14 | 18% ±11 | 33% ±13 | 48 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±10 | 22% ±26 | 26% ±43 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.58% | 187 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,817.22 (-9.7%) | 9.8 | 2.7% | 21h | 22.7d ago · 30× | 3% ±5 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 18% ±17 | 41% ±34 | > 7d | 3.29% | 1.41% | 351 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.