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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-09 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,242.8–3,398.5 (+3.4%) | 3.5 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.6d ago · 50× | 46% ±24 | 40% ±23 | 15% ±17 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 8% ±5 | 44% ±24 | 67% ±38 | 85% ±50 | 1.3d | 3.44% | 1.21% | 102 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,222.04 (+2.7%) | 2.8 | 1.3% | 8h | 21.1d ago · 44× | 39% ±23 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 7% ±5 | 38% ±22 | 55% ±40 | 67% ±53 | 2.0d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 107 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 3,189.06–3,197.57 (+1.7%) | 1.7 | 2.9% | 23h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 51% ±19 | 48% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 46% ±15 | 41 | 24% ±6 | 50% ±19 | 65% ±31 | 77% ±42 | 1.0d | 1.95% | 2.21% | 167 → 4 | |
| at post · 3,135.96 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 3,132.57 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 2.7d ago · 106× | 88% ±15 | 53% ±14 | 4% ±5 | 44% ±13 | 52 | 74% ±8 | 88% ±15 | 92% ±21 | 97% ±19 | 1h | 2.55% | 1.43% | 111 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 3,025.87–3,030.01 (-3.4%) | 3.5 | 5.6% | 2.7d | 2.6d ago · 85× | 39% ±14 | 51% ±16 | 11% ±10 | 38% ±15 | 39 | 9% ±3 | 38% ±14 | 59% ±24 | 75% ±32 | 1.8d | 2.52% | 1.62% | 293 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,968.25 (-5.3%) | 5.5 | 1.7% | 9h | 2.6d ago · 59× | 18% ±11 | 44% ±18 | 9% ±11 | 47% ±18 | 29 | 3% ±2 | 18% ±11 | 41% ±24 | 71% ±33 | 4.1d | 2.21% | 2.29% | 296 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 2,796.46–2,837.98 (-9.5%) | 9.8 | 2.5% | 17h | 4.3d ago · 84× | 7% ±9 | 49% ±14 | 18% ±11 | 33% ±13 | 48 | 2% ±2 | 7% ±9 | 20% ±24 | 24% ±37 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.58% | 192 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,817.22 (-10.2%) | 10 | 2.6% | 21h | 22.7d ago · 30× | 3% ±4 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 16% ±16 | 39% ±32 | > 7d | 3.29% | 1.41% | 367 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 3,135.96 | 3,189.06 | 3,025.87 | target | +5.97% |