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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-22 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,252.88–3,304.9 (+7.7%) | 12 | 0.5% | 4h | 1.4d ago · 50× | 0% ±2 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 12% ±19 | 25% ±38 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 206 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,208.28 (+6.2%) | 9.5 | 1.0% | 6h | 20.9d ago · 44× | 3% ±4 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 17% ±15 | 39% ±30 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 435 → 10 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,143.2 (+4.1%) | 6.2 | 1.7% | 10h | 2.8d ago · 70× | 10% ±8 | 48% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±8 | 29% ±19 | 51% ±33 | 6.9d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 374 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 3,104.23–3,126.52 (+2.8%) | 4.2 | 2.1% | 20h | 9.2d ago · 82× | 22% ±12 | 55% ±14 | 14% ±10 | 31% ±13 | 46 | 3% ±2 | 22% ±12 | 40% ±25 | 55% ±37 | 5.7d | 2.11% | 1.91% | 276 → 7 | |
| 30D POC | 3,033.62 (+0.4%) | 0.6 | 3.3% | 1.6d | 2.7d ago · 67× | 85% ±19 | 33% ±18 | 17% ±14 | 50% ±19 | 27 | 75% ±9 | 85% ±19 | 94% ±21 | 94% ±33 | 1h | 1.58% | 1.27% | 83 → 2 | |
| at post · 3,020.82 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 3,019.43 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.7% | 23h | 2.8d ago · 65× | 84% ±32 | 43% ±19 | 4% ±7 | 54% ±20 | 25 | 78% ±15 | 84% ±32 | 84% ±50 | 84% | 1h | 2.46% | 1.97% | 30 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,944.62–2,944.68 (-2.5%) | 3.9 | 3.0% | 18h | 2.5d ago · 106× | 32% ±16 | 48% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 43% ±13 | 57 | 7% ±3 | 34% ±16 | 55% ±28 | 78% ±36 | 2.3d | 2.33% | 1.74% | 210 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 2,873.98–2,881.25 (-4.6%) | 7.1 | 0.9% | 3h | 2.4d ago · 85× | 11% ±7 | 52% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 36% ±14 | 43 | 2% ±1 | 11% ±7 | 30% ±18 | 55% ±31 | 4.8d | 3.00% | 1.73% | 433 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 2,814.36–2,836.65 (-6.1%) | 9.3 | 2.3% | 16h | 4.2d ago · 84× | 7% ±9 | 45% ±13 | 21% ±11 | 34% ±13 | 55 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±9 | 21% ±23 | 29% ±40 | > 7d | 2.42% | 1.62% | 210 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,786.43 (-7.8%) | 12 | 0.9% | 5h | 2.4d ago · 59× | 4% ±5 | 41% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 50% ±18 | 31 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±4 | 20% ±16 | 44% ±31 | > 7d | 2.21% | 2.60% | 407 → 10 | |
| LVN zone | 2,762.33–2,777.19 (-8.1%) | 12 | 0.5% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 1% ±3 | 56% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 5% ±12 | 17% ±33 | > 7d | 3.01% | 1.93% | 212 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 3,020.82 | 3,166.27 | 2,944.68 | expired | +0.20% |