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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-22 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,252.88–3,304.9 (+7.0%) | 9.1 | 0.6% | 5h | 1.4d ago · 50× | 7% ±9 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±9 | 24% ±26 | 39% ±48 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 175 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 3,208.28–3,210.52 (+5.6%) | 7.2 | 1.2% | 7h | 2.8d ago · 70× | 7% ±6 | 44% ±19 | 8% ±11 | 48% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 23% ±16 | 44% ±29 | > 7d | 2.07% | 2.30% | 455 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 3,104.23–3,126.52 (+2.2%) | 2.8 | 2.5% | 23h | 9.2d ago · 82× | 40% ±15 | 55% ±14 | 14% ±10 | 31% ±13 | 46 | 12% ±4 | 40% ±15 | 56% ±27 | 64% ±38 | 1.6d | 2.11% | 1.91% | 240 → 6 | |
| at post · 3,038.84 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 3,033.62 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 4.0% | 1.9d | 2.5d ago · 72× | 85% ±20 | 61% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 31% ±16 | 33 | 73% ±10 | 85% ±20 | 89% ±31 | 92% ±37 | 1h | 2.86% | 1.03% | 77 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,019.43 (-0.6%) | 0.8 | 3.4% | 1.2d | 2.8d ago · 65× | 89% ±20 | 43% ±19 | 4% ±7 | 54% ±20 | 25 | 68% ±12 | 89% ±20 | 92% ±31 | 92% | 2h | 2.46% | 1.97% | 60 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,944.62–2,944.68 (-3.1%) | 4.0 | 3.5% | 22h | 2.5d ago · 106× | 30% ±15 | 48% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 43% ±13 | 57 | 6% ±3 | 32% ±15 | 52% ±28 | 76% ±38 | 2.8d | 2.33% | 1.74% | 216 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,880.67–2,882.06 (-5.2%) | 6.7 | 1.1% | 3h | 2.4d ago · 85× | 13% ±8 | 48% ±15 | 11% ±9 | 41% ±15 | 43 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±8 | 35% ±19 | 61% ±30 | 4.4d | 2.73% | 2.02% | 437 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 2,814.36–2,836.65 (-6.7%) | 8.6 | 2.7% | 19h | 4.2d ago · 84× | 8% ±9 | 45% ±13 | 21% ±11 | 34% ±13 | 55 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±9 | 24% ±24 | 32% ±41 | > 7d | 2.42% | 1.62% | 209 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 2,754.9–2,777.19 (-8.6%) | 11 | 0.5% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 2% ±4 | 56% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±13 | 20% ±32 | > 7d | 3.01% | 1.93% | 231 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 3,038.84 | 3,208.28 | 2,881.25 | expired | -1.85% |