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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-23 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,256.83–3,307.79 (+10.3%) | 12 | 0.5% | 3h | 1.5d ago · 50× | 0% ±2 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 12% ±18 | 21% ±36 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 215 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,217.25 (+8.9%) | 11 | 1.0% | 5h | 2.9d ago · 70× | 5% ±5 | 48% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 17% ±14 | 36% ±27 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 487 → 12 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,191.3 (+8.0%) | 9.6 | 1.8% | 13h | 21.0d ago · 44× | 3% ±4 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 16% ±14 | 38% ±29 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 446 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 3,103.94–3,133.06 (+5.1%) | 6.0 | 2.7% | 1.0d | 9.3d ago · 82× | 14% ±10 | 55% ±14 | 14% ±10 | 31% ±13 | 46 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±10 | 33% ±23 | 56% ±37 | 5.9d | 2.11% | 1.91% | 293 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,044.44 (+3.1%) | 3.6 | 3.5% | 1.4d | 3.0d ago · 97× | 35% ±12 | 49% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 45% ±15 | 44 | 6% ±2 | 35% ±12 | 53% ±22 | 70% ±32 | 2.4d | 1.94% | 1.99% | 342 → 8 | |
| 30D POC | 3,027.49 (+2.5%) | 3.0 | 4.7% | 2.1d | 2.8d ago · 67× | 31% ±21 | 35% ±18 | 16% ±14 | 48% ±19 | 28 | 8% ±5 | 32% ±21 | 59% ±39 | 71% ±52 | 1.8d | 1.75% | 1.37% | 116 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,964.82–2,975.81 (+0.4%) | 0.4 | 3.5% | 1.0d | 2.8d ago · 104× | 88% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 7% ±7 | 51% ±14 | 47 | 68% ±7 | 88% ±11 | 91% ±18 | 94% ±23 | 2h | 2.14% | 1.70% | 183 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,953.95 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,904.13 (-1.7%) | 2.0 | 2.1% | 8h | 2.5d ago · 85× | 42% ±18 | 54% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 33% ±14 | 43 | 19% ±6 | 42% ±18 | 62% ±30 | 71% ±45 | 1.4d | 2.61% | 1.80% | 179 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,885.52–2,887.41 (-2.3%) | 2.7 | 1.3% | 4h | 2.5d ago · 59× | 36% ±17 | 43% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±18 | 31 | 10% ±4 | 36% ±17 | 48% ±31 | 58% ±48 | 4.3d | 2.84% | 2.23% | 182 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 2,827.28–2,834.56 (-4.0%) | 4.8 | 2.8% | 21h | 4.3d ago · 84× | 38% ±18 | 45% ±13 | 21% ±11 | 34% ±13 | 55 | 7% ±4 | 38% ±18 | 67% ±29 | 76% ±42 | 1.5d | 2.42% | 1.62% | 174 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 2,953.95 | 2,887.41 | 3,217.25 | expired | +0.64% |