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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-23 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,433 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,256.83–3,307.79 (+10.2%) | 12 | 0.5% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 50× | 0% ±2 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 12% ±18 | 24% ±37 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 216 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,184.02 (+7.7%) | 8.9 | 1.8% | 11h | 20.8d ago · 44× | 3% ±4 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 17% ±15 | 38% ±30 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 434 → 10 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,129.74 (+5.9%) | 6.8 | 2.9% | 22h | 2.7d ago · 70× | 9% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±7 | 26% ±18 | 47% ±31 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 431 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 3,103.94–3,133.06 (+5.0%) | 5.8 | 2.7% | 1.0d | 9.0d ago · 82× | 15% ±10 | 55% ±14 | 14% ±10 | 31% ±13 | 46 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±10 | 33% ±22 | 55% ±37 | 6.0d | 2.11% | 1.91% | 297 → 7 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAH | 3,027.49–3,038.34 (+2.5%) | 2.8 | 4.9% | 2.1d | 2.5d ago · 97× | 38% ±13 | 44% ±15 | 10% ±9 | 46% ±15 | 44 | 8% ±3 | 38% ±13 | 60% ±23 | 75% ±32 | 1.6d | 1.86% | 1.75% | 308 → 7 | |
| 7D POC | 2,975.81 (+0.7%) | 0.8 | 3.5% | 1.7d | 2.5d ago · 104× | 86% ±12 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 47 | 67% ±7 | 86% ±12 | 90% ±19 | 94% ±23 | 2h | 2.22% | 1.63% | 177 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,955.09 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 2,944.62 (-0.4%) | 0.4 | 4.1% | 1.0d | 2.3d ago · 85× | 87% ±15 | 44% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 42% ±15 | 42 | 71% ±8 | 87% ±15 | 93% ±18 | 96% ±23 | 1h | 2.29% | 1.89% | 119 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,885.52–2,898.03 (-1.9%) | 2.2 | 1.8% | 6h | 2.3d ago · 85× | 38% ±17 | 52% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 36% ±14 | 43 | 15% ±5 | 38% ±17 | 54% ±29 | 64% ±42 | 3.5d | 3.00% | 1.73% | 189 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,820.09 (-4.6%) | 5.2 | 2.4% | 18h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 20% ±11 | 41% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 50% ±18 | 31 | 3% ±2 | 20% ±11 | 43% ±23 | 71% ±31 | 4.0d | 2.21% | 2.60% | 318 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 2,955.09 | 3,129.74 | 2,820.09 | expired | -0.54% |