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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-23 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,433 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,256.83–3,307.79 (+9.7%) | 10 | 0.6% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 50× | 3% ±6 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 16% ±22 | 29% ±40 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 195 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,176.74 (+7.0%) | 7.5 | 1.8% | 10h | 20.8d ago · 44× | 5% ±5 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±5 | 19% ±16 | 41% ±32 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 394 → 9 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,129.74 (+5.4%) | 5.8 | 3.1% | 24h | 2.7d ago · 70× | 12% ±8 | 48% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±8 | 29% ±20 | 51% ±35 | 6.8d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 348 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 3,103.94–3,133.06 (+4.6%) | 4.9 | 3.0% | 1.1d | 9.0d ago · 82× | 16% ±10 | 55% ±14 | 14% ±10 | 31% ±13 | 46 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±10 | 35% ±23 | 56% ±37 | 5.9d | 2.11% | 1.91% | 297 → 7 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAH | 3,027.49–3,035.29 (+2.0%) | 2.1 | 5.2% | 2.3d | 2.5d ago · 97× | 45% ±16 | 44% ±15 | 10% ±9 | 46% ±15 | 44 | 14% ±4 | 45% ±15 | 68% ±25 | 82% ±31 | 1.3d | 1.86% | 1.75% | 240 → 6 | |
| 7D POC | 2,975.81 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.9% | 1.8d | 2.5d ago · 104× | 92% ±11 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 47 | 78% ±7 | 92% ±11 | 94% ±16 | 96% ±21 | 1h | 2.22% | 1.63% | 138 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,968.71 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 2,944.62 (-0.8%) | 0.9 | 4.6% | 1.2d | 2.3d ago · 85× | 82% ±16 | 44% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 42% ±15 | 42 | 67% ±8 | 83% ±15 | 92% ±18 | 96% ±23 | 2h | 2.29% | 1.89% | 142 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,885.52–2,898.03 (-2.4%) | 2.5 | 1.9% | 6h | 2.3d ago · 85× | 36% ±16 | 52% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 36% ±14 | 43 | 12% ±4 | 37% ±15 | 53% ±27 | 64% ±42 | 3.4d | 3.00% | 1.73% | 227 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,833.55 (-4.6%) | 4.8 | 2.9% | 22h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 23% ±12 | 41% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 50% ±18 | 31 | 3% ±2 | 23% ±12 | 45% ±24 | 73% ±33 | 3.8d | 2.21% | 2.60% | 295 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 2,968.71 | 3,129.74 | 2,833.55 | expired | -0.90% |