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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-24 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,256.83–3,307.79 (+10.8%) | 12 | 0.5% | 4h | 1.5d ago · 50× | 0% ±2 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 12% ±18 | 22% ±36 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 221 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,162.18 (+7.6%) | 8.5 | 1.6% | 10h | 21.0d ago · 44× | 4% ±5 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±4 | 18% ±16 | 39% ±30 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 432 → 10 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,129.74 (+6.5%) | 7.3 | 3.0% | 22h | 2.9d ago · 70× | 8% ±6 | 48% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±6 | 25% ±17 | 46% ±29 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 463 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 3,103.94–3,133.06 (+5.6%) | 6.3 | 2.8% | 1.1d | 9.3d ago · 82× | 13% ±9 | 55% ±14 | 14% ±10 | 31% ±13 | 46 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±9 | 32% ±22 | 54% ±37 | 6.4d | 2.11% | 1.91% | 298 → 7 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAH | 3,027.49–3,038.34 (+3.0%) | 3.4 | 5.0% | 2.2d | 2.8d ago · 97× | 31% ±12 | 45% ±15 | 10% ±9 | 45% ±15 | 45 | 5% ±2 | 30% ±12 | 50% ±22 | 67% ±32 | 3.1d | 1.93% | 1.68% | 354 → 8 | |
| 7D POC | 2,975.81 (+1.2%) | 1.4 | 3.8% | 1.8d | 2.8d ago · 104× | 75% ±16 | 51% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 43% ±14 | 48 | 42% ±8 | 74% ±16 | 80% ±26 | 86% ±34 | 7h | 2.25% | 1.61% | 165 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,939.15 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 2,931.16 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 5.1% | 1.4d | 2.6d ago · 85× | 88% ±15 | 43% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 75% ±8 | 88% ±15 | 94% ±19 | 96% ±23 | 1h | 2.24% | 1.85% | 116 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,892.8–2,904.13 (-1.2%) | 1.3 | 2.5% | 9h | 2.5d ago · 85× | 54% ±19 | 52% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 36% ±14 | 44 | 33% ±7 | 56% ±18 | 70% ±30 | 76% ±42 | 13h | 3.00% | 1.67% | 167 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,873.94 (-2.2%) | 2.5 | 1.1% | 3h | 2.5d ago · 59× | 41% ±18 | 41% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 50% ±18 | 31 | 10% ±4 | 41% ±18 | 56% ±31 | 67% ±46 | 2.4d | 2.21% | 2.60% | 180 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 2,939.15 | 2,975.81 | 2,879.97 | expired | +0.27% |
| 14d | POC | long | 2,939.15 | 3,129.74 | 2,873.94 | expired | +0.27% |