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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-24 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,256.83–3,307.79 (+10.7%) | 15 | 0.4% | 3h | 1.5d ago · 50× | 0% ±2 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 8% ±15 | 15% ±28 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 248 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,162.18 (+7.5%) | 10 | 1.3% | 8h | 21.0d ago · 44× | 3% ±4 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±14 | 38% ±29 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 465 → 11 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,124.45 (+6.2%) | 8.6 | 2.6% | 21h | 2.9d ago · 70× | 7% ±5 | 48% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±5 | 21% ±15 | 41% ±28 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 502 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 3,103.94–3,133.06 (+5.5%) | 7.6 | 2.3% | 21h | 9.2d ago · 82× | 12% ±9 | 55% ±14 | 14% ±10 | 31% ±13 | 46 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±9 | 29% ±22 | 50% ±37 | 6.9d | 2.11% | 1.91% | 279 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D POC | 3,026.14–3,027.49 (+2.9%) | 4.0 | 4.1% | 1.7d | 2.7d ago · 97× | 28% ±11 | 45% ±15 | 10% ±9 | 45% ±15 | 45 | 4% ±2 | 27% ±11 | 46% ±22 | 65% ±31 | 4.0d | 1.93% | 1.68% | 365 → 9 | |
| 7D POC | 2,975.81 (+1.2%) | 1.6 | 3.0% | 1.5d | 2.7d ago · 104× | 69% ±18 | 51% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 43% ±14 | 48 | 34% ±8 | 69% ±18 | 75% ±30 | 81% ±39 | 8h | 2.25% | 1.61% | 148 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,941.95 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 2,930.84 (-0.4%) | 0.5 | 4.1% | 1.2d | 2.5d ago · 85× | 85% ±15 | 43% ±15 | 13% ±10 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 70% ±8 | 85% ±15 | 94% ±17 | 96% ±21 | 1h | 2.24% | 1.85% | 133 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,892.8–2,904.13 (-1.3%) | 1.8 | 2.0% | 7h | 2.5d ago · 85× | 44% ±18 | 49% ±15 | 11% ±9 | 40% ±15 | 44 | 19% ±6 | 45% ±18 | 60% ±30 | 68% ±46 | 1.9d | 2.74% | 1.98% | 185 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.