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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-25 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,256.83–3,307.79 (+10.6%) | 18 | 0.3% | 2h | 1.6d ago · 50× | 0% ±2 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 4% ±10 | 9% ±23 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 235 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,162.18 (+7.4%) | 13 | 1.1% | 6h | 21.1d ago · 44× | 2% ±3 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 12% ±12 | 34% ±27 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 498 → 12 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,107.61 (+5.6%) | 9.6 | 2.0% | 20h | 3.0d ago · 70× | 6% ±5 | 48% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 19% ±15 | 39% ±28 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 497 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 3,103.94–3,133.06 (+5.4%) | 9.4 | 1.9% | 17h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 9% ±9 | 55% ±14 | 14% ±10 | 31% ±13 | 46 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±9 | 24% ±22 | 46% ±40 | > 7d | 2.11% | 1.91% | 247 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 3,027.49 (+2.8%) | 4.9 | 3.4% | 1.4d | 2.8d ago · 67× | 16% ±13 | 38% ±18 | 16% ±13 | 47% ±18 | 29 | 3% ±2 | 15% ±12 | 29% ±27 | 54% ±44 | 6.6d | 1.91% | 1.27% | 190 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,016.99 (+2.5%) | 4.3 | 2.6% | 20h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 29% ±11 | 50% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 45 | 4% ±2 | 29% ±11 | 46% ±21 | 63% ±31 | 3.7d | 1.94% | 1.94% | 387 → 9 | |
| 7D POC | 2,975.81 (+1.1%) | 1.9 | 2.4% | 1.3d | 2.8d ago · 104× | 59% ±21 | 51% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 43% ±14 | 48 | 22% ±7 | 57% ±20 | 65% ±33 | 72% ±51 | 14h | 2.25% | 1.61% | 140 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 2,945.28 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.1% | 1.0d | 2.8d ago · 79× | 92% ±15 | 32% ±16 | 8% ±9 | 59% ±17 | 34 | 80% ±9 | 92% ±14 | 94% ±21 | 95% ±29 | 1h | 2.03% | 1.76% | 84 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,943.64 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,892.8–2,904.13 (-1.3%) | 2.3 | 1.5% | 5h | 2.6d ago · 85× | 37% ±17 | 49% ±15 | 11% ±9 | 40% ±15 | 44 | 12% ±4 | 38% ±16 | 56% ±28 | 66% ±42 | 3.0d | 2.74% | 1.98% | 208 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 2,943.64 | 2,897.84 | 3,107.61 | target | -0.91% |