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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-25 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,256.83–3,307.79 (+11.2%) | 20 | 0.3% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 50× | 0% ±2 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 3% ±9 | 8% ±22 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 234 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,162.18 (+7.9%) | 14 | 1.0% | 6h | 20.9d ago · 44× | 2% ±3 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 11% ±12 | 31% ±26 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 495 → 12 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,107.61 (+6.1%) | 11 | 1.9% | 19h | 2.8d ago · 70× | 5% ±5 | 48% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 16% ±14 | 35% ±27 | > 7d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 486 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 3,103.94–3,133.06 (+6.0%) | 11 | 1.8% | 16h | 9.2d ago · 82× | 7% ±9 | 55% ±14 | 14% ±10 | 31% ±13 | 46 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±9 | 20% ±24 | 47% ±44 | > 7d | 2.11% | 1.91% | 197 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 3,027.49 (+3.4%) | 6.1 | 3.2% | 1.4d | 2.7d ago · 67× | 14% ±11 | 38% ±18 | 16% ±13 | 47% ±18 | 29 | 3% ±2 | 13% ±11 | 24% ±23 | 50% ±44 | > 7d | 1.91% | 1.27% | 226 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,010.89 (+2.8%) | 5.1 | 2.3% | 18h | 2.9d ago · 97× | 25% ±11 | 50% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 45 | 3% ±2 | 25% ±10 | 39% ±20 | 58% ±32 | 4.5d | 1.94% | 1.94% | 394 → 9 | |
| 7D POC | 2,975.81 (+1.6%) | 2.9 | 2.3% | 1.2d | 2.7d ago · 104× | 34% ±18 | 51% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 43% ±14 | 48 | 8% ±4 | 33% ±17 | 42% ±32 | 57% ±49 | 5.5d | 2.25% | 1.61% | 167 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 2,935.29 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 3.0% | 21h | 2.7d ago · 79× | 92% ±13 | 32% ±16 | 8% ±9 | 59% ±17 | 34 | 75% ±9 | 92% ±13 | 94% ±19 | 95% ±30 | 1h | 2.03% | 1.76% | 99 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,929.35 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,892.8–2,904.13 (-0.9%) | 1.6 | 1.4% | 5h | 2.4d ago · 85× | 47% ±18 | 49% ±15 | 11% ±9 | 40% ±15 | 44 | 21% ±6 | 47% ±17 | 61% ±29 | 69% ±40 | 1.7d | 2.74% | 1.98% | 189 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 2,929.35 | 2,897.84 | 3,107.61 | target | -1.16% |