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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-26 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,434 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.27 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,256.83–3,307.79 (+12.0%) | 15 | 0.5% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 50× | 0% ±2 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 8% ±14 | 14% ±28 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 256 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,162.18 (+8.7%) | 11 | 1.5% | 9h | 20.8d ago · 44× | 3% ±4 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 14% ±13 | 37% ±29 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 477 → 11 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,047.71 (+4.8%) | 5.9 | 3.2% | 1.1d | 2.7d ago · 70× | 11% ±8 | 48% ±19 | 3% ±7 | 48% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±8 | 29% ±19 | 51% ±33 | 6.9d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 369 → 9 | |
| 30D POC | 3,027.49 (+4.1%) | 5.0 | 4.7% | 2.0d | 2.6d ago · 67× | 14% ±12 | 38% ±18 | 16% ±13 | 47% ±18 | 29 | 3% ±2 | 13% ±11 | 27% ±25 | 52% ±44 | 6.8d | 1.91% | 1.27% | 209 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,993.84 (+2.9%) | 3.6 | 3.7% | 1.3d | 2.8d ago · 97× | 33% ±12 | 50% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 45 | 5% ±2 | 34% ±12 | 51% ±22 | 69% ±32 | 2.8d | 1.94% | 1.94% | 353 → 8 | |
| 7D POC | 2,973.76 (+2.2%) | 2.8 | 3.8% | 1.7d | 2.6d ago · 104× | 37% ±18 | 52% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 42% ±14 | 49 | 11% ±5 | 39% ±18 | 51% ±33 | 61% ±48 | 3.0d | 2.28% | 1.59% | 166 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 2,944.68 (+1.2%) | 1.5 | 4.2% | 1.4d | 2.6d ago · 79× | 66% ±22 | 32% ±15 | 11% ±10 | 58% ±16 | 35 | 35% ±9 | 66% ±22 | 76% ±34 | 83% ±43 | 9h | 2.02% | 1.73% | 108 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,915.44 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 2.8% | 13h | 6.6d ago · 56× | 91% ±19 | 56% ±20 | 4% ±8 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 75% ±12 | 91% ±19 | 93% ±29 | 95% | 1h | 3.75% | 2.04% | 53 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 2,914.64–3,067.53 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 2.7% | 12h | 9.1d ago · 82× | 81% ±18 | 55% ±14 | 14% ±10 | 31% ±13 | 46 | 65% ±9 | 81% ±18 | 88% ±26 | 92% ±31 | 1h | 2.11% | 1.91% | 108 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,908.36 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,890.14–2,900.08 (-0.3%) | 0.4 | 1.5% | 4h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 70% ±20 | 44% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 47% ±18 | 31 | 50% ±9 | 70% ±20 | 75% ±32 | 79% ±46 | 6h | 2.77% | 2.16% | 118 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 2,908.36 | 2,829.95 | 2,973.76 | expired | -0.38% |