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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-12-26 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,433 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 3,256.83–3,307.79 (+11.1%) | 13 | 0.5% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 50× | 0% ±2 | 43% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 9% ±15 | 17% ±30 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.24% | 247 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,169.46 (+8.2%) | 9.8 | 1.5% | 8h | 20.7d ago · 44× | 3% ±4 | 35% ±25 | 18% ±20 | 47% ±26 | 14 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±14 | 38% ±29 | > 7d | 2.22% | 1.96% | 464 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 3,103.94–3,133.06 (+5.9%) | 7.1 | 2.8% | 24h | 9.0d ago · 82× | 11% ±9 | 55% ±14 | 14% ±10 | 31% ±13 | 46 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±9 | 28% ±22 | 50% ±37 | > 7d | 2.11% | 1.91% | 290 → 7 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAH | 3,027.49–3,039.63 (+3.3%) | 4.0 | 4.6% | 2.0d | 2.5d ago · 70× | 18% ±12 | 43% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 48% ±18 | 29 | 3% ±2 | 18% ±12 | 37% ±25 | 59% ±39 | 5.7d | 1.95% | 1.85% | 253 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,991.93 (+2.1%) | 2.5 | 3.8% | 1.4d | 2.7d ago · 97× | 46% ±15 | 50% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 45 | 12% ±4 | 46% ±14 | 65% ±24 | 82% ±29 | 1.2d | 1.94% | 1.94% | 275 → 7 | |
| 7D POC | 2,973.76 (+1.5%) | 1.8 | 3.9% | 1.8d | 2.5d ago · 104× | 64% ±19 | 52% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 42% ±14 | 49 | 28% ±7 | 64% ±18 | 75% ±28 | 79% ±40 | 11h | 2.28% | 1.59% | 153 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,930.15 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 2,928.52 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.3% | 1.3d | 2.3d ago · 85× | 90% ±15 | 43% ±15 | 15% ±11 | 43% ±15 | 44 | 73% ±8 | 90% ±14 | 94% ±18 | 95% ±24 | 1h | 2.12% | 1.74% | 106 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,890.14–2,911.61 (-0.6%) | 0.8 | 2.5% | 10h | 2.2d ago · 85× | 62% ±19 | 50% ±15 | 11% ±9 | 40% ±14 | 45 | 38% ±8 | 63% ±19 | 72% ±31 | 78% ±41 | 11h | 2.69% | 1.91% | 149 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 2,930.15 | 3,039.63 | 2,890.14 | expired | -0.08% |